The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
3 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
5 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
6 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
7 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
8 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
9 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 TESFAYE Elias 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
11 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
12 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
13 NG Nico 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
14 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
15 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
17 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
18 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
19 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
20 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
21 HE Bronto 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
22 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
23 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 2%
24 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
25 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 2%
26 WU Matthew 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
27 CUELLAR Markus 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
28 ZHENG Jason 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
29 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
30 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
31 WELCH Sebastian 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
32 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
33 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
34 WEISELBERG Mark 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
35 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
36 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
37 WANG Marcus 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
37 SHI Evan 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
39 BOBORIS Dimitrios 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
40 CHEN Cameron 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% - -
41 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
42 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
43 BRESLAV Asher 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
44 CIANCHETTA David 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
45 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
46 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
47 DAI Jason 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
48 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
49 QI Bryan 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
50 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
51 SMITH Theo 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
52 YU David 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
53 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
54 KIM Louie 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
55 CHO Adrian 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
56 LAI Jayden 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
57 JAISING Aaditya 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
58 MCGANN Grant 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1% -
59 CHEN Jayden A 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
60 SHAO Mason 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
61 ROBINSON Blake 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
62 ZHENG Jasper 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
63 LEE Ryan 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
64 YOON Jonathan 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% - -
65 BHANDARE Veer 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
66 LANE Sawyer 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
67 MALLAKIS Efstathios 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
68 LAW Oliver 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
69 WITHERELL Logan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
70 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.