AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, October 25, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 OU Rigel 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
3 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
3 VO Blake 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
5 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
6 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66%
7 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
8 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
9 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
10 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
10 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 9%
12 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 25%
13 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
14 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
15 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
16 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
17 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
18 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
19 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
20 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
21 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
22 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
23 PARK Emerson 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
24 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
25 WANG David 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
26 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
27 HO Alden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
28 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
29 DENG Richard 100% 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
30 CHUNG Evan 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
31 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
32 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
33 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
34 TAN Daniel 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
35 QI Zach 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
36 LIU Paul 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
38 WU Lucas 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
39 MASAKI Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
40 DING Orlando 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
41 GU Dean 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
42 TABANCAY Cole 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
43 YUE Ivan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% -
44 LAI Mars 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
45 CHAN Troy 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
46 WANG James 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
47 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
48 CAO Chong 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
49 LIU Chun Shing 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
50 GUO Jonathan 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
51 WU Dawei 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
52 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
53 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1%
54 DESAI Arthav 100% 98% 71% 29% 6% -
55 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
56 KIM Eric 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
57 KIM Suin 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
58 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
59 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 3%
60 HE zhixuan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
61 LEE Kyle Sung Ju 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
62 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
62 YANG Aegon 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
64 FAN Yuen 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
65 HAN Kyle 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
66 SHEN Alaric 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
67 LU Simon 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
68 WANG Darren 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
69 IRVINE Cooper 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
70 LIU Nico 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1%
71 LUO Gavin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
72 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
73 UDAYGIRI Adi 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
74 JI Derek 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
75 WU August 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
76 FAN Yuchen 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
77 LI Sky 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
78 KIM Connor 100% 15% 1% - - -
79 YU Albert 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
80 ZHANG Caleb 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
81 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
82 LEI Isaac 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
83 LOVELL Jackson 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
84 SHIVAKUMAR Sahil 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 10%
85 BODO John 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
86 DUBIN Jake 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
87 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
88 SLOAN Ethan 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
89 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
90 CAO Osmond 100% 94% 63% 21% 2% -
91 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
92 CHEN Donovan 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
93 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 23% 2% - - - -
93 LI Linus 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.