AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 5% 34% 61%
3 MOSLEY Wally - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
3 TANG Michael - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
5 KIM Julian - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 35%
6 ROBERTS Arthur - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
7 SCHIPPER Johann 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
8 ENG Kyler - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
9 XUE Michael - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
10 CHANG Matthew - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
11 WONG Aaron - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
12 KROTZ Nicolas 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
13 TUBALTSEV Evan - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
14 YAO Tristan - - 2% 18% 45% 35%
15 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
16 LI Vance 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
17 MOU Jaydon - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
18 RAU Shogun - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
19 ZHANG Sean - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
20 FU Nolan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
21 CHEN Christopher 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
22 LIU Daniel - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
23 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
24 KUANG Cyrus - - 1% 10% 41% 49%
25 WU MiEr - 1% 6% 29% 49% 15%
26 LUO Alvin Y. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
27 RONG Marcus - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
28 KO Ian 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
29 LIU Aiden 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
30 MA Nolan - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
31 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
32 SHOURIE Neel 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
33 WANG Lucas - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
34 KIM Evan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
35 HWANG Matthew - 1% 7% 33% 44% 16%
36 WU Nathan - - 6% 30% 47% 17%
37 YOO Minwoo 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
38 YU Haoyun - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
39 LIU Xuyao 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
40 SHOURIE Seth 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
41 YOO Lucas - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
42 LI Stephen - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
43 WANG Mason 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
44 YU Brandon 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
45 CHEN Aiden - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
46 GUO Jonathan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
47 MAZAHERI Theodore 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
48 LEE Lucas - 1% 10% 38% 39% 12%
49 LIN Bryan 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
50 HANTOV Adrian - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
51 ZHANG Jenson - 5% 27% 44% 20% 3%
52 YI Alexander - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
52 FU Benjamin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
54 LU Ian - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
55 GEVA Reuben - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
55 ZENG Oliver 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
57 WANG Juehan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
58 CHAN Joseph 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
59 NGUYEN Ethan V. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
60 WONG Kyle - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
61 LIN Daniel 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
62 MYRAH Devin - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
63 CHEN Linus 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
64 LI Ethan 19% 44% 30% 6% - -
65 LEE Leo 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
66 HUA Nolan - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
67 MA kevin 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
68 TENG Eric 3% 19% 40% 31% 7% -
69 HUR Tyson 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
70 LEE Joshua 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
71 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
72 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
73 LIU William 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
74 JU Shang - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
75 CHO Lincoln - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
76 JUNG Brandon 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
77 CHU Clayton 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
78 LI Connor 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
79 CHI Zachary 8% 47% 35% 9% 1% -
80 WONG Alexander - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
81 TIAN Dylan 3% 21% 41% 29% 6% -
82 PARADKAR Akshay 1% 13% 34% 35% 16% 3%
83 MEHROTRA Darsh 19% 44% 31% 6% - -
84 CHAN Nathan 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
85 YOON Ian 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
86 LIU Yihong - 3% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2%
87 PARK Sihoon 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
88 CHAN Calvin 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
89 YUE Bryan - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
90 DIRKSEN Jamie 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
91 LI Ethan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
92 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
93 DING Max - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
94 ABRAHAM Aaron 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% -
95 SAMOYLOV Daniel 1% 17% 45% 30% 7% -
96 HUANG EVAN 21% 45% 29% 5% - -
97 YANG Rony 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
98 BALUCAN Gabriel 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
99 GUO zhaohong 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
100 LI Nathan 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
101 WU James 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
101 LI Kingston 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
103 WANG Suian (Andy) 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
104 ZHAO Luke 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
105 SZETO Zachary 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
105 LEE Cooper 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
107 VINOD Davin 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
108 KIM Christian 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
108 HUNG Ludwig 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
110 LO Stefan 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
110 KOU Logan 72% 26% 3% - - -
112 BENNETTE Graham 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
113 LEE Zeo 76% 22% 2% - - -
114 LEE Daniel 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
115 MATUSOW Brandon 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
116 SI Alexander 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
117 SHARMA Mihir 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
118 LU Jayden 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
119 WON Jacob 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
120 YE Andrew 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.