AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
3 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
3 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
5 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
6 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
8 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
9 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
10 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
11 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
12 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
13 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
14 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
15 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
16 LI Vance 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
17 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
18 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
19 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
20 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
21 CHEN Christopher 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
22 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
23 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 4%
24 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
25 WU MiEr 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
26 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
27 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
28 KO Ian 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2%
29 LIU Aiden 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
30 MA Nolan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
31 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
32 SHOURIE Neel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
33 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 17%
34 KIM Evan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
35 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 59% 16%
36 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 17%
37 YOO Minwoo 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
38 YU Haoyun 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
39 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
40 SHOURIE Seth 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
41 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
42 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
43 WANG Mason 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
44 YU Brandon 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
45 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
46 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
47 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
48 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 12%
49 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
50 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
51 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 95% 67% 23% 3%
52 YI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
52 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
54 LU Ian 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
55 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
55 ZENG Oliver 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
57 WANG Juehan 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
58 CHAN Joseph 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
59 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
60 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
61 LIN Daniel 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
62 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
63 CHEN Linus 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
64 LI Ethan 100% 81% 36% 6% - -
65 LEE Leo 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
66 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
67 MA kevin 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
68 TENG Eric 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% -
69 HUR Tyson 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1%
70 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
71 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
72 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
73 LIU William 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% 1%
74 JU Shang 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
75 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
76 JUNG Brandon 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
77 CHU Clayton 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
78 LI Connor 100% 91% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
79 CHI Zachary 100% 92% 45% 10% 1% -
80 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
81 TIAN Dylan 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
82 PARADKAR Akshay 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
83 MEHROTRA Darsh 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
84 CHAN Nathan 100% 96% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
85 YOON Ian 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
86 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
87 PARK Sihoon 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
88 CHAN Calvin 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
89 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
90 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
91 LI Ethan 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
92 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
93 DING Max 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
94 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
95 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 99% 82% 37% 7% -
96 HUANG EVAN 100% 79% 35% 6% - -
97 YANG Rony 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
98 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
99 GUO zhaohong 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
100 LI Nathan 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
101 WU James 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
101 LI Kingston 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
103 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
104 ZHAO Luke 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
105 SZETO Zachary 100% 72% 28% 5% 1% - -
105 LEE Cooper 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
107 VINOD Davin 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
108 KIM Christian 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
108 HUNG Ludwig 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
110 LO Stefan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
110 KOU Logan 100% 28% 3% - - -
112 BENNETTE Graham 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
113 LEE Zeo 100% 24% 3% - - -
114 LEE Daniel 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
115 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
116 SI Alexander 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
117 SHARMA Mihir 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
118 LU Jayden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
119 WON Jacob 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
120 YE Andrew 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.