November NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, November 8, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Kentucky International Convention Center - Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Youlong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
2 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
3 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
3 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 5%
6 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
7 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
8 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
9 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
10 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
11 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
12 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
12 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 8%
14 CHEN Junlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
15 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
16 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
17 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
17 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
19 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
19 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
22 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
23 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
24 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
25 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
26 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
27 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 9%
28 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
29 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
30 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17% 1%
31 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
32 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
33 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
34 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
35 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
36 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
37 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
38 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
39 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 99% 82% 40% 8% -
39 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
41 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
42 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 89% 53% 14% 1%
43 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
44 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
45 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
46 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
47 SHIN Noah 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
48 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
49 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
50 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 7% -
51 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
52 HART-SYED declan 100% 97% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
53 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
54 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
55 CHEN Nuo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
56 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
57 WEI JR Shan 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% -
58 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
59 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
60 NUCKLES Caden 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
61 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 12%
62 PE Noah 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
63 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 4%
63 LI Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
65 QU Richard 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
66 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
67 CHEN Anson 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
68 PARK William 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
69 STIRLING CHARLES 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
70 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
71 HUYNH Matthew 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
72 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
73 ZHANG Hanru 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
74 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
75 HONG Edwin 100% 99% 86% 43% 10% 1% -
76 SICAT Justin 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
77 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
78 NAIR Sujit 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
79 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
80 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1% -
81 PARK Andrew 100% 98% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
82 YU William 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
83 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
83 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
85 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 14% 1%
86 HUA Aaron 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
87 LEE Jaden 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
88 BAI Austin 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
89 CHAN Joseph 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
90 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
91 YOU Martin 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
92 HU Daniel 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
93 TANG Royce 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
94 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
95 FOY Grant 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
96 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
97 WEI Winston 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
98 JIN Andy 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
99 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
100 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
101 SHI Boris 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
102 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
103 KIM Daniel 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
104 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
105 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
106 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
107 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
107 MIRON Ioachim 100% 94% 58% 20% 4% - -
109 EDWARDS Connor 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
110 LI Daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
111 HE Ian 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
112 ONIK Ari N. 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
113 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
114 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% 1% -
115 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
116 POPOKH Luca 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
117 CHENG Mason 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
118 QIAN Zekai 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
119 YE Jerry 100% 100% 96% 61% 18% 2% -
120 WEBSTER Liam 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
121 MARTIRE Luca 100% 85% 44% 13% 2% - -
122 ROPER Griffin 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
123 HASTINGS Alex 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
123 LEE Aeden 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
125 SHAW eric 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
125 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 67% 9% - - - -
127 ROSE Zavier 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
128 YOUNG Jack 100% 33% 4% - - - -
129 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
130 HUANG Jinyao 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% - -
131 ZHENG Austin 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
131 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
133 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
134 KAGAN Noah 100% 74% 29% 6% - - -
135 BHARDWAJ Ranbir 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
136 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 42% 3% - - - -
137 TOMOV Evan 100% 72% 21% 2% - - -
138 MAZAHERI John 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
139 DAVIS Walter 100% 47% 7% - - - -
140 SONG Yuxuan Austin 100% 35% 5% - - - -
141 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
141 DAVIS Thoren 100% 52% 8% - - - -
143 CHOI Hunter 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
144 WU Thomas 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
144 KAYE Ben 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
144 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
147 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
147 GRIGORYAN Erik 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -
149 GOGOI Kavi 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
149 DELA CRUZ Lorenzo 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
151 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
151 KARPMAN Benny 100% 77% 23% 3% - - -
153 SGOUROS Keane 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.