NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 47%
3 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
6 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 ROSE-JONES Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
8 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
9 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
10 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
11 TANG Mingyuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
12 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 18%
13 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
14 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
15 SMITH Troy H. 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
16 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
17 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
18 REYES ALVAREX Manuel Alejandro 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
19 CHEN Allen 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
20 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
21 O'BRIEN Eamon 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
22 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
23 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
24 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 2%
25 GLUSHKOV David 100% 82% 41% 9% 1% -
26 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 29%
27 WANG Xiangdong 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
28 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
29 TORRES Gianni 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
30 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
31 LIN Yufei 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
32 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 6% -
33 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
34 PAN Anthony 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
35 ZHANG Roland 100% 97% 80% 41% 11% 1%
36 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
37 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
38 KABA Elias 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
39 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 5%
40 YIN Chujun 100% 97% 78% 37% 6% -
41 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
42 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 5%
43 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
44 LI Ray 100% 69% 24% 3% - -
45 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
45 WANG Zhenhai 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
47 REINEKE Alexander 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% -
48 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
49 PAGE Duncan 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% -
50 QUINLAN Sean 100% 98% 84% 46% 7% -
51 SONG Changze 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
52 FENG Du 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
53 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
54 CROTTY James 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
55 SEILS Aether 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
56 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
57 GU Eric 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
58 WHITE Aidan 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
59 KAIN Brad 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
60 PORTER Corin 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
61 SUH Aiden 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% 1%
61 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
63 GREGORY Nova 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
64 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
65 PESSIN Nadav 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
66 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
67 DOWD Peter L. 100% 91% 56% 16% 1% -
68 REELS Eric J. 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
69 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
70 LONADIER Robert 100% 29% 3% - - - -
71 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
72 LI Qiuye 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
72 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 94% 54% 17% 3% - -
74 SHAPIRO Natan 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
75 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
76 MURRAY John P. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.