NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Wednesday, January 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 3% 25% 73%
2 WANG Justin - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 1% 8% 44% 47%
3 WU Jonathan - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
5 DOELEMAN Zeno - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 WU Joseph - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
7 ROSE-JONES Simon - - - 2% 29% 68%
8 SONG Troy - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
9 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
10 ZHANG William - - - 4% 28% 67%
11 TANG Mingyuan - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
12 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - - 2% 19% 60% 18%
13 SPRINGER Michael - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
14 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 2% 13% 38% 41% 7%
15 SMITH Troy H. 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
16 ZELIN Sam J. 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
17 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 1% 10% 47% 42%
18 REYES ALVAREX Manuel Alejandro - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
19 CHEN Allen 2% 14% 37% 36% 11% 1%
20 LAI Boden - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
21 O'BRIEN Eamon 4% 28% 41% 22% 5% -
22 TRAN Spencer - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 2%
23 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
24 LIU Jeremiah W. - 6% 26% 42% 22% 2%
25 GLUSHKOV David 18% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
26 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 2% 17% 52% 29%
27 WANG Xiangdong 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
28 MOSKOWITZ Martin 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
29 TORRES Gianni 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
30 MARTONE Matt L. 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
31 LIN Yufei 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
32 BELLIVEAU Shane 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
33 ORESKOVIC Olivier 1% 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
34 PAN Anthony 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
35 ZHANG Roland 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
36 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
37 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
38 KABA Elias 6% 28% 42% 21% 3% -
39 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 3% 17% 41% 34% 5%
40 YIN Chujun 3% 20% 41% 31% 6% -
41 ROSIELLO Francesco 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
42 PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod - 5% 23% 41% 26% 5%
43 STEVENSON Ryan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
44 LI Ray 31% 45% 21% 3% - -
45 XIE Brandon 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
45 WANG Zhenhai 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
47 REINEKE Alexander 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
48 MICKEY Christopher J. - 6% 25% 40% 25% 4%
49 PAGE Duncan 8% 33% 40% 16% 2% -
50 QUINLAN Sean 2% 14% 39% 38% 7% -
51 SONG Changze 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
52 FENG Du - 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
53 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
54 CROTTY James 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
55 SEILS Aether 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
56 BRASSARD Calvin 14% 40% 35% 10% 1% -
57 GU Eric 37% 44% 17% 3% - -
58 WHITE Aidan 22% 43% 28% 6% 1% -
59 KAIN Brad 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
60 PORTER Corin 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
61 SUH Aiden 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
61 STELTENKAMP Neal - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 1%
63 GREGORY Nova < 1% 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
64 BRUEGGEMANN Max 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
65 PESSIN Nadav 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
66 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
67 DOWD Peter L. 9% 35% 40% 15% 1% -
68 REELS Eric J. 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
69 CAFASSO Alexander 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
70 LONADIER Robert 71% 26% 3% - - - -
71 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 23% 44% 27% 6% - -
72 LI Qiuye 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
72 REINEKE Gerhard 6% 40% 37% 14% 2% - -
74 SHAPIRO Natan 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
75 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
76 MURRAY John P. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.