Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 HAYES Stewart - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
3 GHEDINI Luca - - - - 5% 30% 64%
5 SENIC Lucas - - - - - 7% 93%
6 TANG Alexander L. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
6 SHENG Dalton - - - - 3% 25% 72%
8 CHENG Logan - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
9 KO Caleb - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
10 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
11 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - - 4% 30% 66%
11 ZENG Rick - - - - 3% 24% 73%
13 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 6% 38% 56%
14 DOELL Ethan - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
15 LI Edison M. - - - 2% 14% 46% 38%
16 ZHONG Maxwell - - 3% 18% 47% 33%
17 PARRISH Evan - - - - 1% 17% 81%
18 YOON Junhyeok - - - - 5% 32% 63%
18 HUA Aaron - - - 3% 21% 49% 27%
20 ZHENG Marcus - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
20 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
22 VADEN Oliver - - - 1% 14% 43% 42%
23 WANDJI Noah - - - 4% 26% 70%
24 PAN Ethan - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
25 SHIN Noah - - 1% 9% 36% 41% 13%
26 BAKSHI Aman - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
27 ZHANG Hanru - - 3% 17% 40% 38% 2%
28 LIM EUNSEONG - - 1% 10% 36% 45% 8%
28 LIU Aaron - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
30 CHOI Benjamin - - 1% 16% 49% 34%
31 TANG Terry - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
32 ONIK Ari N. - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
33 FEDELI Francesco - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
34 BAI Austin - - 1% 7% 30% 51% 13%
35 WANG Caleb - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
36 GRUNENWALD Henri - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 3%
37 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
38 FAN Ze Lin - 1% 7% 23% 39% 27% 3%
39 XIE Jicheng - - 6% 25% 38% 25% 5%
40 JIN Andy - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
41 HAN Alexander - - 1% 17% 49% 32%
42 GRACEY Gavin - 1% 14% 49% 30% 5%
43 FANG Haoyu - - 3% 21% 54% 22%
44 TANG Royce - - 1% 12% 39% 39% 10%
45 KUO Phineas - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
45 HART-SYED declan - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
47 JIN Xuechong Daniel - 1% 8% 31% 41% 18% 1%
47 GE Felix Fei - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
49 HOU Gaven - - 2% 12% 39% 40% 8%
50 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
51 ZHANG Julian 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
52 LU Hansen - 1% 13% 46% 32% 8% 1%
53 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
54 LEE Junehyuk 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% -
55 WU Wallace - - 3% 20% 49% 28%
56 TAN Charlie - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
57 SICAT Justin 1% 7% 28% 43% 19% 3%
58 LIU Anthony 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
59 YU William - - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
60 MARTIRE Luca - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
61 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
62 SALEH Ali - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
63 ZHAI Alex - 3% 19% 42% 30% 6% -
64 LU Alex - - 1% 13% 46% 40%
65 SIU Max - - 4% 21% 44% 27% 3%
66 KARLEKAR Ved 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
67 KOVACS Harrison 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% 1%
68 NUCKLES Caden - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
69 NOVIKOV Yann - 3% 16% 39% 32% 9% -
69 HOLMES Alexiy - - 3% 23% 43% 27% 5%
71 CHANG Parker - - 6% 24% 40% 26% 3%
72 HE Ryan 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
73 CAO Joshua - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
74 TOOMRE Kai - - 1% 11% 39% 39% 10%
75 SHAW Spencer - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
76 GRIGORIEV Michael - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
77 YEVDAYEV Tamir - - 3% 19% 43% 32% 3%
78 REN Ryan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
79 WU Alexander 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
80 YANG Steve - 1% 7% 28% 43% 19% 2%
81 ZHANG Ethan 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
82 KIM Daniel 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
83 ULYSSE Jacob 3% 19% 37% 31% 10% 1%
84 LIU Alex - - 7% 34% 40% 17% 2%
85 WU Gengze (Daniel) 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
86 LEE Thomas - 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
87 JIN Xueyuan George - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
88 LIU Yilin 1% 16% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
89 QU Zhida (richard) - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
90 DHOKTE Neev - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
90 XIE Jayden - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
92 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
93 HE Ian 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6% -
94 XIA Philip 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
95 SONG Enoch 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
96 CHUN Zachary 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
97 LI Andrew 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
98 LEONG Samuel - 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
99 PAN Howard Haoran 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
100 YANG David H. 6% 28% 41% 22% 3% -
101 OH Joshua 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
102 ZHENG Austin 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
102 KIM Ewan 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
104 SLAIN Owen 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
105 HU Daniel 1% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2% -
106 BOWLES Kevin 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
107 XU Ryan 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
108 CHAO ABU MINGZE 3% 19% 39% 31% 7% 1% -
109 DANTON Ryan 1% 6% 27% 42% 21% 4% -
110 XIANG Wangzhi 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
111 LAM Kirin 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
112 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 2% 19% 55% 21% 3% - -
112 WANG Jaaziel 9% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
114 HOO Bezalel 11% 38% 37% 12% 1% - -
115 WILLIAMS Thomas 30% 43% 22% 4% - - -
116 DUROCHER Greyson 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
117 KIAYIAS Alexander 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
118 CHOW Kingsley 3% 25% 52% 17% 2% -
119 WEBER Andrew 14% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
120 ZHANG Ethan 11% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
121 MA Matthew 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
122 HU Michael 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
123 HUANG Jinyao - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% -
124 LIN Wilson 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2% -
125 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
126 LEE Aeden 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
127 QIAN Henry 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
128 KUBBA Krish 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
129 HUANG Anthony 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
130 SHEN Lucas 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
131 MORALES Tycho 7% 36% 40% 15% 2% - -
132 ROBERTSON Liam 24% 53% 20% 3% - - -
133 JIANG Bohan 1% 8% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
134 TSENG Lucas 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
134 MOON Nicolas 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
136 MAZAHERI Theodore 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
137 GUGALA Frank 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
137 MAZAHERI John 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1% -
139 CHIANG Aiden 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
140 WANG Freyr 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
141 HUYNH Kaleb 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
142 JORGE Elijah 11% 37% 37% 13% 1% -
143 STANSBURY Desmond 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
144 LIN Oliver Ju-En 37% 48% 14% 1% - -
145 CHEN Kevin 35% 50% 14% 1% - -
146 CHENUTULA Abhinav 22% 49% 24% 5% - - -
147 PARMAR Veer 7% 45% 37% 10% 1% - -
148 REBNER Parker 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
149 SINCAVAGE Louis 45% 43% 11% 1% - - -
150 KIRK Royce 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
151 COROZZO Robert 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
152 CHAU Ivan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
153 KAZAKEVICH Kanstantsin 51% 41% 7% - - - -
154 MACK Julian 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
155 CHEN Ethan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
156 RAMESH Prashvin 4% 29% 43% 20% 4% - -
157 SUN Andrew 44% 44% 12% 1% - - -
158 CAINE Liam 46% 42% 10% 1% - - -
159 MISHRA Kartikaye 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
160 REYNOLDS CHANG Luke 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
160 CHOI Hunter 5% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
162 MCINTYRE Christopher 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
163 TANG Michael 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
164 XUAN nathan 28% 56% 15% 1% - - -
164 AYYAGARI Abhiram 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
166 PACK Lindsey 9% 39% 36% 14% 2% - -
166 CHUNG Royce 23% 50% 22% 4% - - -
166 HAN Nathan 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
169 PARK Jubin 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
170 PELTZER Liam 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
171 RESENDE BONIFACIUK Lucas 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
172 PAREKH Neil 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
173 WEST Benjamin 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
174 RATHMAN Bryce 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
175 ASHMORE Jackson 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
176 CHEN Tylar 77% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.