Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
2 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
3 YI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% 2%
5 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
8 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
9 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
10 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
11 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
12 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
13 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
14 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
15 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
16 WU Vincent 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
18 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
19 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
20 LI Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
21 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
22 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
23 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 17% 3%
24 PARK Layne 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
25 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
26 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
27 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
28 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
29 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
30 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
31 LAI Mars 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
32 SABINO Bennett 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
33 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
34 ZHANG Weihang 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
35 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
35 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
37 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
37 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
39 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
40 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
41 WANG James 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
42 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
43 SHEN Alaric 100% 95% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
44 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
45 GU Dean 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
46 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
47 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
48 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
49 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 1%
50 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
51 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
52 LU Simon 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
53 FAVO Christopher 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
54 YANG LOUIS 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
55 PARK Sean 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
56 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
57 WANG Mason 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
58 POLSANI Gaurav 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
59 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
60 BI JIAJUN 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 20%
61 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 11% 1%
62 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
63 LI Lucas 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
64 TAI Milton 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
65 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
66 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
67 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
68 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
69 DAI Ethan 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
70 ZHANG Caleb 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
71 LI Derek 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
72 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
72 LI Kent 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
74 STYS Owen 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
75 SUN Leonard 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
76 KASSAYE Abi 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
77 SONG Jerry 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
78 LAN Jasper 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
79 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
80 BROOKS Isaac 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
81 TAK Kion 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
82 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
83 KUANG Cyrus 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
83 BADMUS David 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
85 GAW Christian 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
86 BERGAN Chase 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
86 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
88 HE zhixuan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
89 WANG Ambrose 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
90 MCCABE Donovan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
90 ATA Kevin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
92 MARTIRE Francis 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
93 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% -
93 HAYNES Kyri 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
95 MAUREL Louis 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
96 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
97 CHOU Qianhao 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
98 LEE Davis 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
99 BALBALE Zayd 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
100 URQUILLA Devin 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
101 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
102 LIU Nico 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
103 STOKELY Samuel 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
103 YU Ronen 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
105 ROHRBACH Flynn 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
106 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
107 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
108 NORTON Hudson 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
109 HUANG Joseph 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
109 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
111 LEE Jeffrey 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
112 CID Marcos 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
113 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
113 GAW Zachary 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
115 KELLY Collin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
116 XIONG Robert 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
117 BABY Jacob 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
118 ZHANG Mark 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
118 HU YouShi 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
120 SAFAI Bardia 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
120 ZHAO Evan 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
122 TAK Sion 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
123 SHARMA KRISH 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
123 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
125 GONG Johnny 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
126 CARD Ewan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
127 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
128 SOMOV Maxim 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
129 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
130 GUO Lining 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
131 MAZAHERI John 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% - -
132 MARLOW Lucian 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
133 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.