Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 20, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 1% 11% 43% 46%
2 YU BOWEN - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
3 CHANG Ethan - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 13%
3 YI Andrew - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 2%
5 YU Ian - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
6 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
8 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
9 LEVY Daniel - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
10 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
11 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
12 LUCAS William - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
13 SLAVNOV Anton - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
14 KAUL Ishaan - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
15 CAO HAOTIAN - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
16 WU Vincent - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 HENDERSON Louis - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
18 LIANG Morgan - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
19 SONG Aidan - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
20 LI Michael - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
21 MIAO Heqi - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
22 BEAL Colton - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
23 HUA George (Hanxun) - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
24 PARK Layne - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
25 LUO Gavin 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
26 ZHAO Alexander - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
27 BENNETT Lachlan - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
28 KAMURA Kosei - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
29 BROOKS Theo - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
30 LIU Jeremy - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
31 LAI Mars - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
32 SABINO Bennett 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
33 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 ZHANG Weihang 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
35 BIVIJI Adam - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
35 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
37 LIU Jayden - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
37 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
39 ZHANG Howard - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
40 HU Simon - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
41 WANG James - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
42 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
43 SHEN Alaric 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
44 LEE Brendan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
45 GU Dean - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
46 CHAVAN Aditya - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
47 STOLCKE Julian - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
48 NARAYAN Rishi - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
49 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
50 MALEK Zak - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
51 TAKEBE Ren - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
52 LU Simon - 1% 6% 21% 38% 30% 5%
53 FAVO Christopher 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
54 YANG LOUIS - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
55 PARK Sean - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
56 BRADY Jack - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
57 WANG Mason 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
58 POLSANI Gaurav 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
59 YANG Aegon - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
60 BI JIAJUN - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 20%
61 BURCH III Andrew J. - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
62 BLAIR Campbell - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
63 LI Lucas 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
64 TAI Milton - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
65 SHANKAR Rahm - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
66 CHEN Luca - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
67 JAVIER Xavier - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
68 BURENKOV Matthew 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
69 DAI Ethan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
70 ZHANG Caleb 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
71 LI Derek 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
72 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
72 LI Kent 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
74 STYS Owen - 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
75 SUN Leonard 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
76 KASSAYE Abi 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
77 SONG Jerry 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
78 LAN Jasper 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
79 LEE Aiden 1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
80 BROOKS Isaac 1% 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
81 TAK Kion 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
82 SUH Jordan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
83 KUANG Cyrus 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
83 BADMUS David 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
85 GAW Christian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
86 BERGAN Chase 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
86 SEDAKA Dylan 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
88 HE zhixuan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
89 WANG Ambrose 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
90 MCCABE Donovan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
90 ATA Kevin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
92 MARTIRE Francis 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
93 LIUZHANG Ben 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% -
93 HAYNES Kyri 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
95 MAUREL Louis 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
96 HUANG KIMBALL 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
97 CHOU Qianhao - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
98 LEE Davis 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
99 BALBALE Zayd 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
100 URQUILLA Devin 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
101 SHARMA Ayaan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
102 LIU Nico 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
103 STOKELY Samuel 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
103 YU Ronen 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
105 ROHRBACH Flynn 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
106 ALUF Brendon - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
107 RIMMELE Sven Yan 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
108 NORTON Hudson 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
109 HUANG Joseph 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
109 CHEN Ryan 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
111 LEE Jeffrey 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
112 CID Marcos 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
113 KULJIEV Boyan 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
113 GAW Zachary 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
115 KELLY Collin 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
116 XIONG Robert 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
117 BABY Jacob 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
118 ZHANG Mark 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
118 HU YouShi 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
120 SAFAI Bardia 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
120 ZHAO Evan 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
122 TAK Sion 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
123 SHARMA KRISH 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
123 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
125 GONG Johnny 11% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
126 CARD Ewan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
127 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
128 SOMOV Maxim 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
129 MAZAHERI Theodore 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
130 GUO Lining 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
131 MAZAHERI John 16% 48% 29% 7% 1% - -
132 MARLOW Lucian 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
133 AUSLANDER Rocco 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.