Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Elite Sportsplex - Waterford, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
2 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
3 OZAWA Taishi - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
3 GE Felix Fei - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
6 CHENG Logan - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
7 LIU Aaron - - - 5% 26% 49% 20%
8 ZHENG Marcus - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
9 LU Alex - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
9 LU Jingyi - - - 1% 12% 43% 43%
11 DESERANNO Leander - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
12 FANG Haoyu - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 20%
13 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
14 LIU Alex - 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 3%
15 BIELER Mason - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
16 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 4%
17 ZHAI Alex - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
18 PAN Ethan - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
19 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
20 JIN Xuechong Daniel - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
21 BAI Austin - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
22 ABRAMKIN Tim - - - 5% 29% 47% 18%
23 EDWARDS Connor - 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
24 LEE Abin - - 2% 15% 44% 33% 6%
25 WANG Caleb - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
26 PAN Howard Haoran - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
27 NUCKLES Caden - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
28 CHANG Parker - 1% 5% 24% 42% 25% 3%
29 COOK Grant - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
30 WU Gengze (Daniel) 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
31 FAN Ze Lin - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
32 WANG Mendy - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
33 CAO Justin - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
34 YANG David H. 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
35 HONG Derek - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
36 ZHAO Jason 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
37 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
38 GANAPATHI Eshan - - 7% 32% 43% 16% 2%
39 KAGAN Noah 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
40 LAM Kirin 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
41 CHIANG Aiden 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
42 HUYNH Matthew - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
43 CHENG Mason 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
44 MAZAHERI John - 4% 32% 44% 19% 2% -
45 ZENG Albert 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
45 WENGER Liam 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
47 KNIBBE Nathan - 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 3%
48 MORALES Tycho 8% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -
49 NG Kai 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
50 CHUNG Royce 7% 31% 42% 18% 2% - -
51 JIN Xueyuan George 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
52 SU Aiden 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
53 WU Rayson siyu 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
54 YOUM Tyson 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
55 GREULICH Nikolas 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
56 CHOI Hunter 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
57 SLAIN Owen - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
58 KUBBA Krish 6% 30% 39% 21% 4% - -
59 MADDES Gage 1% 9% 32% 43% 14% 2% -
60 QIAN Henry - 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
61 CHOW Kingsley 2% 31% 41% 21% 5% - -
62 SONG Enoch 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
63 WANG Freyr 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
64 WENGER Rowan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
65 ZMUDA Aiden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
66 ROUS Miguel - 4% 30% 44% 19% 3% -
67 MARVEL Elliot 81% 18% 1% - - - -
68 WANG Jaaziel 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
69 SHAW Spencer - 5% 21% 39% 27% 7% -
70 MAZAHERI Theodore 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
70 CHAO ABU MINGZE 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
72 DEBORD Beckett - 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
73 VARRE Rishi 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
74 KOLACKI Gabriel 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
75 CHEN Varick 12% 57% 26% 4% - - -
76 HARDWICK Alex 12% 41% 36% 10% 1% - -
77 XUE Lucas 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
78 XU Jason 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
79 LI Eric 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
80 XIE Ethan 72% 26% 2% - - - -
81 HUYNH Kaleb 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
82 DENG Albert 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
83 CHAU Ivan 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
84 HOARE Gabriel 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
85 LUND Jonah 63% 35% 3% - - - -
86 RITTER Nathan D. 25% 60% 14% 1% - - -
87 WANG kevin 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
88 WILLIAMS Thomas 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
88 VOGEL Rylan 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
90 BEIER Rowan 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
91 TAGORE Ayansh 45% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.