2025 NCAA Northeast Regionals

Men's Foil

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Tufts University - Medford, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
1 NAGIMOV Marsel - - - - - - - - 1% 2% 4% 9% 15% 20% 20% 16% 9% 4% 1% -
2 ONIK Elijah - - - - 2% 4% 9% 15% 18% 19% 15% 10% 5% 2% 1% < 1% - - - -
3 KUMBLA Samarth - - - - - - - - - - 1% 3% 7% 12% 17% 20% 18% 13% 7% 3% 1% -
4 KAO Castor - - - - - - 1% 3% 7% 13% 17% 19% 17% 12% 7% 3% 1% - - - -
5 CHEN Andrew - - - - - - - - 1% 2% 5% 10% 16% 19% 19% 14% 8% 4% 1% - -
7 BANERJEE Anup - - - - 1% 4% 9% 14% 18% 19% 15% 10% 5% 2% 1% - - - - - -
8 YU Vinni - - - - - 1% 3% 7% 12% 17% 19% 17% 12% 7% 3% 1% - - - - -
9 YANG Adam - - - - 1% 3% 8% 13% 18% 19% 16% 11% 6% 3% 1% - - - - - -
10 ZHANG Henry - - - - - - 2% 4% 8% 13% 18% 19% 16% 11% 6% 2% 1% - - - - -
12 KIM Nicholas - - - - - 1% 4% 8% 14% 18% 19% 16% 10% 5% 2% 1% - - -
13 ZHANG Daniel - - - - 2% 8% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
14 BINDER Zach - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 1%
15 YEROKHIN Michael - - - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 7% 2% - - -
16 WONG Adam - - 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
17 BARTEL Jacob 2% 9% 22% 28% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - - - -
18 ZHANG Andy - - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 26% 16% 6% 1%
19 KWON Ethan 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 17% 7% 2% - -
20 NUNNINK Phillip 9% 25% 31% 22% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
21 HU Oliver - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
22 SULLIVAN Jack 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
23 CHEN James 2% 13% 34% 37% 15%
24 XIAO Enoch 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
25 CHENG Matthew - 4% 15% 28% 30% 17% 5% 1% -
26 BELLUOMO David 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
27 LEE Jacob - - 1% 5% 13% 25% 29% 19% 7% 1%
28 DICKSON Farr 20% 41% 29% 9% 1%
29 KO Christian 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
32 COSTELLO Chaissen 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1%
34 GOBBO Alexander 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% - - - -
35 CAPRA Ethan 36% 41% 18% 4% 1% - - - - -
36 PROSOLI Lovro 1% 12% 37% 39% 10%
37 FORTUNE Alex 17% 53% 28% 2%
38 SMITH Grant 16% 49% 33% 2%
39 WADLEY Brendan 48% 42% 10% -
40 LIN Richard 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
41 LIU Niles < 1% 3% 26% 72%
42 TRAUGOT Brady 32% 45% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.