2025 NCAA Northeast Regionals

Men's Foil

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Tufts University - Medford, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
1 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 93% 84% 69% 49% 29% 14% 5% 1% -
2 ONIK Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 84% 70% 52% 33% 18% 8% 3% 1% < 1% - - - -
3 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 89% 77% 60% 41% 23% 10% 3% 1% -
4 KAO Castor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 88% 75% 58% 39% 23% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
5 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 81% 65% 46% 27% 13% 5% 1% - -
7 BANERJEE Anup 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 86% 72% 53% 35% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - - - - -
8 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 88% 76% 59% 40% 24% 12% 5% 2% - - - - -
9 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 88% 74% 56% 37% 21% 10% 4% 1% - - - - - -
10 ZHANG Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 86% 72% 55% 36% 20% 9% 4% 1% - - - - -
12 KIM Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 86% 72% 53% 34% 18% 8% 3% 1% - - -
13 ZHANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 72% 46% 21% 6% 1%
14 BINDER Zach 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 28% 9% 1%
15 YEROKHIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 50% 26% 10% 3% 1% - -
16 WONG Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 42% 19% 6% 1% -
17 BARTEL Jacob 100% 98% 89% 67% 39% 17% 6% 1% - - - - - - - -
18 ZHANG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 74% 48% 23% 7% 1%
19 KWON Ethan 100% 99% 93% 77% 52% 26% 9% 2% - -
20 NUNNINK Phillip 100% 91% 66% 35% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
21 HU Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 29% 11% 3% - -
22 SULLIVAN Jack 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
23 CHEN James 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
24 XIAO Enoch 100% 97% 78% 41% 10%
25 CHENG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 23% 6% 1% -
26 BELLUOMO David 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
27 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 56% 27% 8% 1%
28 DICKSON Farr 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
29 KO Christian 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
32 COSTELLO Chaissen 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
34 GOBBO Alexander 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - - - -
35 CAPRA Ethan 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - - - - -
36 PROSOLI Lovro 100% 99% 86% 50% 10%
37 FORTUNE Alex 100% 83% 30% 2%
38 SMITH Grant 100% 84% 35% 2%
39 WADLEY Brendan 100% 52% 10% -
40 LIN Richard 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
41 LIU Niles 100% 100% 97% 72%
42 TRAUGOT Brady 100% 68% 23% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.