2025 NCAA Northeast Regionals

Men's Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Tufts University - Medford, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
1 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 88% 75% 58% 38% 21% 9% 3% 1% < 1% -
2 HADDAD Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 88% 75% 57% 37% 19% 8% 2% - -
3 IMREK Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 87% 74% 57% 38% 21% 9% 3% 1% - -
4 LIVERANT Skyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 89% 78% 61% 42% 25% 12% 5% 1% - - -
6 LAWSON Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 86% 74% 56% 38% 21% 9% 3% 1% - -
7 ZHANG Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 79% 62% 41% 22% 9% 3% 1% -
8 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 86% 72% 54% 35% 19% 8% 3% 1% - - -
10 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 90% 78% 62% 43% 27% 14% 6% 2% 1% - - - - - -
11 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 86% 72% 55% 36% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - - - - -
12 NORTH Alexander 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 79% 61% 41% 23% 11% 5% 2% - - - - - - - - -
13 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% - -
14 WEISE Eli 100% 98% 87% 62% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - -
15 TAFUR Alexander 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
16 COLLYMORE Spencer 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 47% 21% 6% 1% - -
17 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 63% 35% 12% 2%
18 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 69% 40% 17% 4% 1% -
19 LONCAR Luka 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 60% 35% 15% 5% 1% - -
20 LI Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 33% 16% 6% 2% - - - - -
21 ZHU Wilson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 42% 20% 7% 1% -
22 HUGHES Levi 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
23 HUANG Thomas 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
24 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
25 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
26 SHAMIS Mark 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
27 MURPHY Thomas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
28 ZHANG Alec 100% 7% - < 1% - - - - - -
29 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 41% 7% - -
30 YU Hunter 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
31 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
32 STRAUSS Luke 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
32 PONIKVAR Lars 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 31% 11% 2% - - -
34 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 98% 83% 52% 22% 6% 1% - - -
35 SHIV Rishi 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
36 JAMISON Harper 100% 99% 60% 15% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.