March NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Monday, March 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
2 YOON Ian 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
3 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
6 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
7 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
9 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
10 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
11 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
12 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
13 LI Vance 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 31% 7%
14 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
15 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
16 NGUYEN Norris 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
17 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 31% 6%
18 MAZAHERI John 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
19 WANG Mason 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
20 YU Rex 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
21 KHALID Ilyas 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
22 YOU Asher 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
23 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
24 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
25 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
25 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
27 PAGLIARINI James 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
28 REN Mark 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
28 MODI Vihaan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
30 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
31 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
32 YAN Milan 100% 95% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
33 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
34 DESAI Jairaj 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
35 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
36 SI Alexander 100% 95% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
37 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
38 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 33% 7%
39 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
39 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
41 WANG William 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
42 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
43 KETCHAM Conrad 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
44 LIU YULIN 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
45 THOMSON Piers 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
45 WANG carson 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
47 QU ethan 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
48 CHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
49 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 96% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
50 YANG Rony 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
51 SATHYAN Dhruv 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
52 YI Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
53 YOU Emmanuel 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
54 YAO Irvine 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
55 WANG Henry 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
56 CHU Clayton 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
57 TANG Jayce 100% 96% 79% 46% 18% 4% -
57 LI Kingston 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
59 LI Nolan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
60 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
61 ROULLARD Atticus 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
62 FERNANDEZ Chenxing 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
63 LEE Eric 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
64 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
65 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
66 LI Jacob 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
67 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
68 ZHOU Silvan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
69 LU Jayden 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
70 REED Andrew 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
71 KOKLIAGUINE Stefan 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
72 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
73 CHI Zachary 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
74 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
75 FLINT Liam 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
76 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
77 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
78 AHMAD Aydin 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
79 WANG Franklin 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
80 YANG Mikey 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
81 XIONG Alec 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
82 ZHANG Jacob 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
83 LI Nathan Zeting 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
84 WANG Alexander 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
85 BAIK Jinu 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
86 FRENCH Luke 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
87 LEE Samuel 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
88 LAW Benjamin 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
89 MOHANKUMAR Aaditya 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.