Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Audrey A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
2 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
3 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
3 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
5 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
6 TANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
7 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
8 ZHAO Crystal 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
9 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
10 CHUNG Yenna 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
11 PEKKER Amina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
13 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% < 1% -
14 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
15 SALIBA Madison 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 4% -
16 SIU Mila 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
17 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
17 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
19 FAN Olivia 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
20 ZHU Ella 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
21 MU Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
22 WANG Jenny wang 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
23 LEE Gloria 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
24 LAU Carys Bella 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
25 GOTSIRIDZE Ana 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
26 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
27 GAI Stephanie 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
28 DONSON Christine 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
29 KIM Eila 100% 89% 52% 18% 3% - -
30 LOYCH Charity 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
31 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
32 KIM Lina 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
33 WILKERSON Katherine 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
34 LEE JiWon 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
35 YOUN Caila 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.