Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 JIN George 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 SUAREZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
3 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
5 HOFFMAN Zane 100% 100% 95% 70% 25% 3%
6 MOON Nolan 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
7 LIN Ziyue 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
8 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
9 CHEN Kyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
10 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
11 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
12 YANG Luca 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
13 YOON Mason 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
14 WILSON Jacob 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
15 PARK Joshua 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
16 LIU Mason 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
17 HUA Isaac 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
18 TURBAT Travis 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
19 FANG Lionel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
20 HAN Jayden 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
21 CHONG Cooper 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
22 KUTATELADZE Danieli 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
23 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
24 HOLLANDER Max 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 18%
25 LU Ethan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
26 GRIFFIN Andrew 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
27 XU Jonathan 100% 95% 66% 23% 3% -
28 BAIER Leon 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
29 KANAN Noland 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
30 LALONDE Oscar 100% 86% 48% 13% 1%
31 LEE Ryan 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% -
32 LI Mason 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
33 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
34 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
35 REN Jonathan 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1%
36 HAN Owen 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
37 LEONG Michael 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
38 LIANG Anker 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
39 YOUNG Esmonde 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
40 WU Brian 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
41 MENZEL Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
42 HOFFMAN Sacha 100% 71% 29% 6% - -
43 HUDSON Jedidiah 100% 79% 36% 7% -
44 PARMAR Aryaveer 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
45 WOOD Theodore 100% 35% 6% - - -
46 REUBEN Samuel 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
47 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 100% 61% 16% 2% - -
48 FORBES Xavier 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
49 CREANGA Matthew 100% 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.