Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
2 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
3 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
5 LI Derek 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
6 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
7 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 82% 43% 11% 1%
8 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
9 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
10 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
11 HEILMANN Christian 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
12 LI Nathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
13 ALLEN Parker 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
14 CARD Ewan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
15 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5%
16 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
17 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
18 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
19 GUO Lining 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
20 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
21 LEVY Rafa 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
22 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 GUO Aiden 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
24 JOHNSON Leyton 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
25 CHEN Nathan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
26 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
27 GHIM Ethan 100% 97% 70% 30% 6% -
28 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
29 ALBERTI-SCANLON Frank 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
30 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
31 GOEL Edrian 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
32 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
33 TOPALOV Michael 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
34 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
35 CHEN Remsen 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
36 AUSLANDER Rocco 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
37 ASANBAYEV Nikolai 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
38 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
38 HUANG Max 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
40 HUANG Joseph 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
41 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
42 THORNTON Jackson 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
43 TIAN Michael 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
44 XU Evan 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
45 LASS Edward 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
46 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
47 ZHANG Luyang 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
48 GU Gordon 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
49 ZHAO Evan 100% 33% 5% - - -
50 HUX Robert 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
51 WANG Thomas 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.