Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Hannah - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
2 LEE Gloria Y. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 GOH Cayla - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
3 OLELE Ifechi - - - - 6% 33% 60%
5 SCHMITT Harper - - - - 1% 16% 83%
6 ADYANTHAYA Anika - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
7 FAN Joy 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
8 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
9 NING Miranda - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
10 MARTINEZ Christina - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
11 KROPP Anne - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
12 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
13 LEE Kate - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
14 XU Jessica - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
15 LAW Mila - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
16 YU Chloe - 3% 17% 37% 34% 8%
17 BROWN Marie - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
18 ALLIEVI Simone - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
18 LIN Cynthia - - 6% 31% 48% 14% 1%
20 BOROTKO Katerina - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
21 JIANG Chenxi 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
22 AZARYAN Diana 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
23 JEYOON Lauren - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
24 LI Xier - 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% 1%
25 HAN Emma 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
26 CHEN Laila 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
27 LI Ariel 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
28 KOUAME Candice 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
29 HOWARD Katherine 5% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1%
30 NISHANTH Krishvi 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
31 RICHARDS Axelle - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
32 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 4% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
33 WRIGHT Madison - 3% 13% 29% 35% 18% 3%
34 ZHANG Ashley 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
35 ZHONG Evelyn - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
36 CHEN Madeline - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
37 YOUN Emily - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
38 ZHANG Jane - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
39 NIKOLLA Vivienne 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
40 YOON Cora 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
41 BURT Emmalyne Grace - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
42 JU Jennifer - 1% 5% 25% 48% 20% 1%
43 RAJPUT Mahek 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
44 TAKAWIRA ANESU - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
45 LAI Juliet 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
46 ILYAS Daanya 4% 22% 40% 28% 6% - -
47 D'ANGELO Olivia 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
48 GOPU Jyothirvida 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
49 GORDON Hannah 22% 44% 28% 6% 1% -
50 BERGAN Bailey 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
51 AXELROD Charlotte - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
52 KWON Allison 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
53 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
54 JAYAWEERA Vonadie - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
55 MAEDJE Abigail 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
56 GAUVEY Amelia 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
57 NOLAN Sophia 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
58 KWON Claire 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
59 MEGGERS Arya 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
60 CHANG Hannah 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
61 SILVA Hailey 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
62 MENKIN Kate - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
63 GULER Zeynep 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
64 JIANG Alexandra 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
65 LEE Zoe 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
66 DROLET Julia 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% - -
67 ZHANG Audrey A. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
68 PRAVEEN Nehara 21% 49% 25% 5% - -
69 PAREKH Riana 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
70 IYENGAR Sthuthi 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
71 MORET Teagan 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
72 KOGAN Maya 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
73 ILYAS Lyla 38% 42% 16% 3% - -
74 HOWARD Brielle 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
75 SHIN Jamie 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
76 ZHANG Sophia 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
77 POTOTSCHNIK-ABRIL Lola 2% 24% 43% 26% 5% -
78 KEMPS Hope < 1% 6% 30% 41% 19% 2% -
79 BROSNAN Mabel 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.