Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
2 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
5 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 FAN Joy 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
8 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
9 NING Miranda 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
11 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
13 LEE Kate 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
14 XU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
15 LAW Mila 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 1%
16 YU Chloe 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
17 BROWN Marie 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
18 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
18 LIN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 15% 1%
20 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
21 JIANG Chenxi 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1%
22 AZARYAN Diana 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
23 JEYOON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
24 LI Xier 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
25 HAN Emma 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
26 CHEN Laila 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
27 LI Ariel 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
28 KOUAME Candice 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
29 HOWARD Katherine 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
30 NISHANTH Krishvi 100% 93% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
31 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
32 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
33 WRIGHT Madison 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
34 ZHANG Ashley 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
35 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
36 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
37 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
38 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
39 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
40 YOON Cora 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
41 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
42 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 21% 1%
43 RAJPUT Mahek 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
44 TAKAWIRA ANESU 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% -
45 LAI Juliet 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
46 ILYAS Daanya 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% - -
47 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
48 GOPU Jyothirvida 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
49 GORDON Hannah 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
50 BERGAN Bailey 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
51 AXELROD Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
52 KWON Allison 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
53 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
54 JAYAWEERA Vonadie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
55 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
56 GAUVEY Amelia 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
57 NOLAN Sophia 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
58 KWON Claire 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
59 MEGGERS Arya 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
60 CHANG Hannah 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
61 SILVA Hailey 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
62 MENKIN Kate 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
63 GULER Zeynep 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
64 JIANG Alexandra 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
65 LEE Zoe 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
66 DROLET Julia 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
67 ZHANG Audrey A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
68 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
69 PAREKH Riana 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
70 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
71 MORET Teagan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
72 KOGAN Maya 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
73 ILYAS Lyla 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
74 HOWARD Brielle 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
75 SHIN Jamie 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
76 ZHANG Sophia 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
77 POTOTSCHNIK-ABRIL Lola 100% 98% 74% 31% 6% -
78 KEMPS Hope 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
79 BROSNAN Mabel 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.