Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ethan - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
2 MAXWELL Taiga - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
3 ZHAO ryan - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 GUJJA Rishabh - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
5 BUTLER Xavier - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
6 ZHOU Luke - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
7 CHEN Benjamin - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
8 YAO Irvine 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
9 MAURAIS JP - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
10 CHA Aiden - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
11 SHIM Jaeyoo - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 YOU Asher - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
13 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
14 SUK Kwon 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
15 JIANG Adam - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
16 WHITE Leonardo 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
17 FAYEZ Adam - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
18 YOU Emmanuel 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
19 OLELE Chibuikem - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
20 QU ethan 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
20 LEE Taeryum 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
22 GOH Cayden - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
23 FEELY Samuel - 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
24 PATEL Yash - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
25 LEE Eric 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
26 CHEN Regis 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
27 REN Jonathan 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
28 IVANOV Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
29 ZHOU Silvan 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
30 WANG Asher 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
31 WENDLING Andrew 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
32 TUTELMAN Shon 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
33 LUO Sebastian - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
34 LAW Benjamin 10% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
35 CANONACO Maddox - 5% 22% 38% 27% 6%
36 KIM Ian 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
37 DABRIEO Cristoval 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
38 BAIK Jinu 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
39 KAZA Avyaan 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
40 CHAN Evan 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
41 CHONG Nikolai 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
42 XIA Andrew Chang 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
43 ADDYSON Evan 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
44 MORET Declan 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
45 GAO Kevin < 1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
46 TRIVULCE Ethan 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
47 SALIBA Jackson 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
48 LEE Sehryum 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.