Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
2 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
3 ZHAO ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
5 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
6 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 CHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
8 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
9 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
10 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
11 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 YOU Asher 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
13 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
14 SUK Kwon 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
15 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
16 WHITE Leonardo 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
17 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
18 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
19 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
20 QU ethan 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
20 LEE Taeryum 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
22 GOH Cayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
23 FEELY Samuel 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
24 PATEL Yash 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
25 LEE Eric 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
26 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
27 REN Jonathan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
28 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
29 ZHOU Silvan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
30 WANG Asher 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
31 WENDLING Andrew 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
32 TUTELMAN Shon 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
33 LUO Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
34 LAW Benjamin 100% 90% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
35 CANONACO Maddox 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
36 KIM Ian 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
37 DABRIEO Cristoval 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
38 BAIK Jinu 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
39 KAZA Avyaan 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
40 CHAN Evan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
41 CHONG Nikolai 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
42 XIA Andrew Chang 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
43 ADDYSON Evan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
44 MORET Declan 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
45 GAO Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
46 TRIVULCE Ethan 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
47 SALIBA Jackson 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
48 LEE Sehryum 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.