Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEVZNER Nicole - - - - 10% 51% 39%
2 POEI Lauren - - - - 5% 33% 61%
3 BING Charlotte - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 BROWN Lola - - - - 5% 39% 56%
5 MARISI Gianna - - - 2% 23% 74%
6 JOO Sara - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
7 CAO Kayla - 1% 4% 19% 38% 33% 5%
8 EPSTEIN Naomi - 5% 22% 41% 28% 3%
9 PINEDA jade luna - - - 2% 17% 56% 25%
10 MCFARLANE Asha - - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
11 XIE Lillian - - - - 4% 28% 68%
12 HARRIS Julia - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
13 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - - 1% 7% 39% 53%
14 DONG Iris - - 2% 14% 40% 35% 10%
15 JIANG Chloe - - 4% 23% 52% 21%
16 DE CASTRO Kai - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
17 HOROWITZ Shuli - - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
18 YIN Chloe 1% 12% 37% 39% 11%
19 LI savannah - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 20%
20 YANG Olivia - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14% 1%
21 FRASER Morgan - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
22 AL-BATTAINEH Eva - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
23 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - - - 6% 29% 45% 20%
24 LIN Yunong - - 1% 10% 37% 46% 6%
24 HUSSIAN Annabelle - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
26 HUANG Emma 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
27 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 3% 20% 40% 30% 6% -
28 SINGH Evangelina - 3% 20% 45% 29% 3%
29 LI Christina 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
30 YACOBUCCI Nadia - 1% 11% 40% 47%
31 SUN Erin 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% - -
32 CHOI Cara 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2% -
33 HU Sophie - 2% 14% 42% 37% 5%
34 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% - -
35 SHAOOLIAN Maya - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
36 PHAN Logan 6% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
37 KIM Sophia 2% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
38 CHAN Jolene - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
39 CHO Olivia 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
40 SMOLICH Emily - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
41 FENG Claire 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
42 VO Evelyn 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% - -
43 BAULIN Zoya 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
44 KIM Audrey 20% 44% 29% 6% - -
45 HOFF Divya 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
46 PARK Hannah 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
47 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
48 ZHENG Annalyn 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
49 REILLY Carys 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
50 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 1% 10% 34% 44% 11% 1%
51 LIU Bella 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
52 HAFEZ Sahar 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
52 BALIN Julia 1% 13% 36% 37% 12% 2% -
54 CHEN Emma 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1% -
55 JAZWINSKI Ivy 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1% -
56 MEITZEN Havah 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
57 KUTATELADZE Anna 12% 40% 36% 11% 1%
58 WU Charlotte 40% 43% 15% 2% -
59 ZAHRAN Emily 1% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
60 WU Lorena 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
61 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 9% 35% 40% 14% 2% -
62 PAEK Mila 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
63 ZHU Ella - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
64 IRIZARRY Nyla 27% 45% 23% 4% - -
65 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
66 KHETPAL Aalia 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
67 BLANKS Campbell 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
68 JAIN Dia 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
69 HUANG Gabrielle 9% 37% 38% 14% 2% - -
70 LIU Joanna 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
71 BAILEY Penelope 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
72 WANG Allyson 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
73 CAPPIELLO Francesca 70% 26% 4% - - -
74 JOSEPH Hannah 32% 44% 21% 4% - -
75 ZELDIN Nina 24% 43% 26% 6% - - -
76 LI Katelyn 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
77 HUANG Annabelle 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
78 LUEKEN Adelina 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.