Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 39%
2 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
5 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
6 JOO Sara 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
7 CAO Kayla 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 5%
8 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3%
9 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 25%
10 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
11 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
12 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
13 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
14 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
15 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 21%
16 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
17 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
18 YIN Chloe 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
19 LI savannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
20 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15% 1%
21 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
22 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
23 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
24 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 6%
24 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 HUANG Emma 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
27 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
28 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 3%
29 LI Christina 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
30 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
31 SUN Erin 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% - -
32 CHOI Cara 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
33 HU Sophie 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 5%
34 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% - -
35 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
36 PHAN Logan 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
37 KIM Sophia 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% -
38 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
39 CHO Olivia 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
40 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13% 1%
41 FENG Claire 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
42 VO Evelyn 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% - -
43 BAULIN Zoya 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
44 KIM Audrey 100% 80% 36% 7% - -
45 HOFF Divya 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
46 PARK Hannah 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
47 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
48 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
49 REILLY Carys 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
50 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11% 1%
51 LIU Bella 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
52 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
52 BALIN Julia 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 2% -
54 CHEN Emma 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1% -
55 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
56 MEITZEN Havah 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
57 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 88% 47% 12% 1%
58 WU Charlotte 100% 60% 17% 2% -
59 ZAHRAN Emily 100% 99% 82% 44% 11% 1%
60 WU Lorena 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
61 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
62 PAEK Mila 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
63 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
64 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
65 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
66 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
67 BLANKS Campbell 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
68 JAIN Dia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
69 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% - -
70 LIU Joanna 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
71 BAILEY Penelope 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% - -
72 WANG Allyson 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
73 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 30% 4% - - -
74 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
75 ZELDIN Nina 100% 76% 33% 7% - - -
76 LI Katelyn 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
77 HUANG Annabelle 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
78 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.