2025 TCFC March Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
2 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 38%
3 LIMER Avi 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
3 TAKATA Ben 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
5 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
6 CHO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 20%
7 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
8 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
9 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 99% 91% 52% 11%
10 TAHA Raymond 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
11 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 9%
12 HONEK Kyle 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
13 MOHAMED Sabir 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
14 HALULA Frank 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
15 CAVEN Henry 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
16 SOTO Michael 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
17 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 99% 92% 60% 10% -
18 NARANJO David E. 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
19 CULVER Hannah 100% 98% 74% 27% 4% -
20 RUBIN Joshua 100% 91% 55% 14% 1% -
21 FRALEY Orion 100% 78% 37% 9% 1%
22 STONE Ken 100% 67% 23% 3% - -
23 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 94% 67% 23% 1% -
24 STENZEL Henry 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
25 HELLMAN Andrew 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
26 SANFORD Wesley 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
27 SCHULTZ David 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
28 WILLER Ryan 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
29 CAVEN Emerald 100% 93% 54% 15% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.