Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIECK Logan O. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 LIN Kyran - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 TAI Edison - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
3 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
5 KIM Sullivan - - - - 2% 19% 79%
6 HIGGINS Branford - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
7 LIU Andy - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
8 LIU Yikun - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
9 TIEN Jabin - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
10 SCHROEDER Dylan - - - 7% 44% 43% 6%
11 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 1%
12 GALLO James - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
13 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
14 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
15 SHOUSHA Hamza - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
16 DENISON Declan - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
17 ZHENG Haoran - - - - 7% 36% 57%
18 ROBINSON Samuel - 4% 21% 43% 32%
19 KIM Jayden - - 1% 9% 44% 41% 6%
19 TANG William - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
21 SIM Ian - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
21 NIKIFOROV Timofei - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
23 PETERSON Matthew - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
24 CHOI Zachary - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
25 LI Ethan R. - - 3% 16% 39% 36% 6%
26 MULCAHY Olaf - - 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
26 LU Jacob - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
28 FAN Joshua - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
29 LEE Inwoo - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
30 GOROZA Eric 1% 13% 38% 37% 9% 1%
31 SHOUSHA Yassin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
32 YOUNG Quentin 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
33 LEE Royce - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
34 WANG Joey - - 2% 18% 51% 29%
35 DONG Haiyi(Leo) - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 10%
36 WANG Devin - 9% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
37 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
38 KARAMAGA Ganza 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
39 HSU Joshua 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 5%
40 MAXU Tiger 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
41 PAK Elliot - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
42 DONDISCH ilan - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 21%
43 WU Steven - 2% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
44 GACIOCH Noah - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
45 PARKE Nathaniel 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
46 MIAO Quentin - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
47 DAO Alexander - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
47 STAFFORD Bryan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
49 KIM Alexander - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2%
50 WU Johnny y. - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10% 1%
51 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
52 JAIN Samyak - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
52 GUO Luke 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
54 AVETISIAN Alexander - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
55 CHEN Ryan - 3% 17% 39% 33% 9% 1%
56 CHANG Andrew 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
57 JAO Aaron 2% 18% 42% 31% 6% -
58 MUENKE Magnus 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
59 GREENMAN Duke 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
60 DENG Destin 9% 45% 35% 10% 1% - -
61 PALMARES Xavier 28% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
62 HENSLEY Roran 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
63 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
64 DENG Henry 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
65 HERNDON Liam - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
66 HAMILTON Travis 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
67 LEE Damien - 6% 24% 39% 24% 5% -
68 GRAHAM Jacob 14% 44% 33% 8% 1% - -
69 MCLAREN Mason 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
70 HINTON Evan 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
71 RONG Gordon 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
72 QIN Owen 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
73 LI Yunji (Rain) - - 3% 14% 32% 37% 14%
74 MA Ryan 1% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
75 SHIRLEY Kai - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
76 KIM Remington 5% 26% 42% 22% 5% - -
77 YU Austin - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
78 SU Samuel 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
79 MOLLINIER Angel 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
80 ZHOU Austin - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
81 FU Adrian 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
82 CHU Ted 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
83 CHEONG Cameron 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
84 LIANG Donny 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
85 WANG Jason 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
86 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 51% 39% 10% 1% - - -
87 PORIKLI Sedat 5% 27% 44% 22% 2% - -
88 STRONG Justin 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
89 SUROV Alexander 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
90 WYLIE Luke 34% 46% 18% 3% - -
90 KIM Tristan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
90 ZHANG Austin 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
93 KLINKNER Richard 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
94 CHEW Aedan 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
95 WOO Lucas 42% 41% 15% 2% -
96 VOO Lucas 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
97 FEI Victor 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
98 GADHVI Darius 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
99 EMERSON Zachary 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
100 DACHELET Sawyer 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
101 WONG Vansen 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
102 KURUGANTI Vivaan 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
103 TOUSSAINT Wizard 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
103 SARMIENTO Luke 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
106 ZHANG Luqi 2% 14% 40% 37% 6% - -
107 COLLINS Kaden 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
107 DILEEP Roshan 24% 47% 25% 5% - -
109 BUI Joseph 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
110 LI Sean 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
111 KOU Mason 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
112 YU Nathan 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
113 ZHANG jinghao 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
114 FEATHERSTON Randal 69% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.