The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 9:30 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - - 1% 14% 85%
2 AKYAMAC Bora - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
3 LI Matthew - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 DOELL Ethan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
5 DESANDO Michael R. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 MYERS Dean - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
7 TANG Albert - - 1% 12% 35% 39% 12%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10%
9 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
10 CHO Jadon Yushin - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
11 KLOTZ Isaiah - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
12 DAUM Charlie - - 1% 14% 38% 37% 10%
13 PAN Henry - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 5%
14 PYO Michael M. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
15 MILLER Jordan - 1% 7% 31% 40% 18% 2%
16 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
18 WONG Garrick G. - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
19 CHEN Ethan - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
20 XU Ethan - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
21 STRAYER Andrew - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
22 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
23 MILLER Andrew - 3% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
24 SONG Austin - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
25 LEVY Jacob - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
26 LORENZO Alejandro - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
27 HOLLIS Sean 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
28 TANG Alexander L. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
29 VIVEROS Evan - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
30 ZEIN ELABEDIN Tamer - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
31 WOOD Alexander W. - 2% 18% 40% 31% 9% -
32 MAO Lucas 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
33 EMENHEISER Conrad - 1% 8% 32% 39% 17% 2%
34 HUANG Eythan - 1% 14% 38% 36% 11% -
35 ORLOV Dmitriy - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
36 JAN Stephen - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
37 MARTIN Mason 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
38 YAP Nathan - - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3%
39 O'BRIEN Jack K. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
40 DAVIS Christopher M. - - 4% 21% 43% 30% 2%
40 TANG xianchi 17% 47% 28% 7% 1% - -
42 POWELL Sean 23% 49% 25% 3% - - -
43 TALLARICO Matthew 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
44 TAM Kyle 7% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
45 DIAZ Julio P. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
46 FENG Michael - 1% 5% 22% 39% 29% 4%
47 PRUT Anton 1% 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
48 GODIN Willis 12% 49% 33% 6% - - -
49 METZ Mason 5% 27% 44% 21% 4% - -
50 JIANG Bowang 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
51 XU Dinghui Ryan 9% 37% 38% 15% 2% - -
52 RADU Andrew - - 6% 29% 42% 20% 3%
53 VILLANUEVA Daniel 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
54 GRIEB Oliver 1% 22% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
55 DEEB Adam 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
56 SHANNON Jack 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
57 SHEA William 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
58 TANG August L. - 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
58 CHENH Justin 3% 27% 47% 20% 3% - -
60 HARWOOD Gray 30% 43% 21% 5% - - -
61 MATZ Cameron 67% 29% 4% - - - -
62 GORDON Jacob 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
63 RHEE Josiah 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
64 RHUDE Jacob 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
65 THAN Duc 40% 45% 14% 1% - - -
66 STANSBURY Desmond 60% 36% 4% - - - -
67 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 25% 58% 16% 2% - - -
68 CRANE William 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
68 BEREKNYEI Lukas 62% 33% 5% - - - -
70 NELKA Brenden 91% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.