The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 9:30 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
5 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
5 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
7 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
9 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
10 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
11 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
12 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
13 PAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 30% 5%
14 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
15 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 2%
16 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
18 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
19 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
20 XU Ethan 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
21 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
22 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
23 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
24 SONG Austin 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
25 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
26 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
27 HOLLIS Sean 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
28 TANG Alexander L. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
29 VIVEROS Evan 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
30 ZEIN ELABEDIN Tamer 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
31 WOOD Alexander W. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% -
32 MAO Lucas 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
33 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
34 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% -
35 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
36 JAN Stephen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
37 MARTIN Mason 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
38 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
39 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
40 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 2%
40 TANG xianchi 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% - -
42 POWELL Sean 100% 77% 28% 3% - - -
43 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
44 TAM Kyle 100% 93% 57% 20% 4% - -
45 DIAZ Julio P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
46 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
47 PRUT Anton 100% 99% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
48 GODIN Willis 100% 88% 40% 7% - - -
49 METZ Mason 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% - -
50 JIANG Bowang 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
51 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% - -
52 RADU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3%
53 VILLANUEVA Daniel 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
54 GRIEB Oliver 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
55 DEEB Adam 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
56 SHANNON Jack 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
57 SHEA William 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
58 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
58 CHENH Justin 100% 97% 70% 23% 3% - -
60 HARWOOD Gray 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
61 MATZ Cameron 100% 33% 4% - - - -
62 GORDON Jacob 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
63 RHEE Josiah 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
64 RHUDE Jacob 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
65 THAN Duc 100% 60% 15% 1% - - -
66 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 40% 4% - - - -
67 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 75% 17% 2% - - -
68 CRANE William 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
68 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 38% 5% - - - -
70 NELKA Brenden 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.