Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Meredith - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
2 HABEK Sophia - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 WANG Jessie - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 CAMAMA Tessa - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
5 YUNG Bethany 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
6 LIN Ariel - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
7 LEE Camilla - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
8 HE Anna - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
9 WANG Victoria - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
10 SUN Karolyn - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 3%
11 WU Jessica - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
12 WONG Sydney - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
13 CHEN Julia Z. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
14 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella - 3% 18% 40% 31% 7%
15 BUCA Nora 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
16 PACHECO Carys - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
17 KUTSY Olga - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
18 LIN Isabel - 2% 17% 40% 34% 7%
19 MANDAP Alessandra - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
20 KANE Chloe - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
21 SCHOR Elisabeth - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
22 KIM Vivian 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
23 LIN Laura - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
24 XU Amy(Chenyu) - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
25 FISCHBEIN Quinley - 4% 23% 42% 27% 4%
26 GAGARING Genia - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
27 BURICEA Ada - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
28 MENDOZA zoie - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
29 LEE Yeriel - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
30 DWIGGINS Reese - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
31 CIOBANU Celine - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
32 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 37% 43% 18% 3% - - -
33 CHEONG Chloe - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
34 BLANCO Ariia - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
36 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
37 SUN Hanya - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
38 ZHAO Emma 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
39 JAQUISH Zoey 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1%
40 ZHU Riley - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
41 BUDMAN Ava 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
42 WANG Lihong - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
43 MOHAN Riya - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
44 LEE Kaitlyn 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
45 HAN Sydney 2% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
46 GAN Shelby 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
47 YUEN Elsie 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
48 DENEALE Lucia 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
49 ZHAO Yanning 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
50 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
50 LEE Adelynn - 6% 25% 39% 23% 6% -
52 KOU Cynthia 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
53 LE Luana 12% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
54 SHERMAN Olivia 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
54 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
56 LI Carlie 8% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
57 BLAETZ Isadora - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
58 LU Chloe 7% 38% 39% 14% 2% -
59 HERD Angela 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
60 RADOV Una 1% 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
61 SCANLAN Alina Nev 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
62 YIP Allison 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
63 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
63 LUCENA Yaretzi 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
65 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
66 BEATINGO Chelli 76% 21% 2% - - - -
67 GRAZIANO Josephine 68% 28% 4% - - -
68 THOMAS Mackenzie 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
69 BREWER Isis 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
70 UEMURA Lyllia 47% 38% 12% 2% - -
71 ZU Jacqueline 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
72 TESLENKO Ekaterina 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
73 ABDALLAH Maryem 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
74 CHAE Avery 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.