Fortune SYC/RJCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 YUNG Bethany 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
6 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
7 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 46%
8 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
9 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
10 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
11 WU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
12 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
13 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
14 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
15 BUCA Nora 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
16 PACHECO Carys 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
17 KUTSY Olga 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
18 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
19 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
20 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
21 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
22 KIM Vivian 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
23 LIN Laura 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
24 XU Amy(Chenyu) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
25 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
26 GAGARING Genia 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 BURICEA Ada 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
28 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
29 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
30 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
31 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
32 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
33 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
34 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
36 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
37 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
38 ZHAO Emma 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 3%
39 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 98% 81% 39% 9% 1%
40 ZHU Riley 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
41 BUDMAN Ava 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
42 WANG Lihong 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
43 MOHAN Riya 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
44 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
45 HAN Sydney 100% 98% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
46 GAN Shelby 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
47 YUEN Elsie 100% 93% 65% 29% 6% 1%
48 DENEALE Lucia 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
49 ZHAO Yanning 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
50 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
50 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
52 KOU Cynthia 100% 99% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
53 LE Luana 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
54 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
54 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
56 LI Carlie 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
57 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
58 LU Chloe 100% 93% 56% 17% 2% -
59 HERD Angela 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
60 RADOV Una 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
61 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
62 YIP Allison 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
63 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
63 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% - -
65 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
66 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 24% 2% - - - -
67 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 32% 4% - - -
68 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
69 BREWER Isis 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
70 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 53% 15% 2% - -
71 ZU Jacqueline 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
72 TESLENKO Ekaterina 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
73 ABDALLAH Maryem 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
74 CHAE Avery 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.