The Cherry Blossom - D1A/VET ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, March 30, 2025 at 11:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
2 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
3 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
5 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
6 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
7 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
8 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
9 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
10 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
11 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 89% 37% 7% 1% -
12 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
13 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
14 TENG Christine Renmei 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 18% 2%
15 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
16 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
17 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
18 COLBY Mercer 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
19 JOHNSON Laura S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
20 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2%
21 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
22 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
23 KIM Grace 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
24 KHOST Maeve 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
25 WANG Erica 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% -
26 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
27 SIERRA Kate 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
28 MCAFEE Jada 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
29 VANCE Beth S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
30 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
31 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 1%
32 YANG Jenny J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
33 ARRI Gaia 100% 76% 18% 1% - - -
34 NGUYEN Anna 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
35 HIRSCH Lauren 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
36 PERRY Madelyn 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
37 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
38 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
39 VANNIER Anouk 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
40 MARTIN Audrey 100% 37% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.