Windy City Fencing ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Berto Center / Known as Old Bulls traing center - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 4%
2 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 60% 15%
3 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
5 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
6 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 72% 23%
7 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 7%
8 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 39%
9 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
10 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
11 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
12 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
13 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
14 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
15 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
16 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
17 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 97% 73% 30% 4%
18 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
19 FELICIANO Damien 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3% -
20 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 17%
20 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
22 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4% -
23 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
24 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1%
25 GLEN Ethan 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
26 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
27 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
28 STOKER Elliott 100% 87% 41% 4% - -
29 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
30 KRAJ Pawel 100% 100% 95% 65% 23% 3%
31 STREETER Oliver 100% 79% 29% 5% - - -
32 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
33 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 80% 32%
34 BEACH John 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
35 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
35 HALULA Frank 100% 52% 10% - - -
37 LIU Quincy 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
38 BISSEN Quinn 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 3% -
39 COHEN Henry 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% - -
40 PAPP Mike 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
41 DESAI Aadi 100% 35% 5% - - -
42 TIERNEY Luke 100% 77% 22% 3% - -
43 LEISECA Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
44 BAGAMANOV Ruslan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
45 ALI Adam 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
46 SCOTT Alex 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
47 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
48 MCDOWELL Will 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1%
49 FORTUNA Chase 100% 87% 40% 4% - -
49 SLEZAK Christian 100% 44% 6% - - -
51 SMITH Bram 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
52 CAVEN Henry 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.