American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Aidan - - - - - 9% 90%
2 DOELL Ethan - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 SHENG Dalton - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 CHEN Hanson - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - - 2% 20% 78%
6 FANG Haoyu - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 24%
7 LU Andy - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
8 KUO Phineas - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
9 LIU Aaron - - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
10 TSAY Jordan R. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
11 JIN Andy - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
12 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - - 5% 29% 66%
13 TANG Terry - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
14 LI Richard - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
15 CHEN Ethan - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
16 PAN Ethan - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
17 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 2% 26% 72%
18 CHENG Logan - - - - 2% 25% 73%
19 HART-SYED declan - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
20 MARISI Gabriel - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
21 CHOI Benjamin - - - 4% 22% 48% 25%
22 CHEN Nuo - - - - - 13% 86%
23 ZHENG Marcus - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
23 BAI Austin - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
25 GRUNENWALD Henri - - 2% 13% 42% 40% 2%
26 LIU Alex - - 1% 8% 35% 51% 5%
27 YU William - - 1% 8% 33% 48% 10%
28 WEI Winston - 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
29 BELCHAMBER Mason - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
30 KOVACS Harrison 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
31 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) - - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
32 WANG Mendy 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2%
33 HOU Gaven - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 19%
34 WONG Jacob W. - - 2% 11% 35% 40% 12%
35 WU Wallace - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
36 HUYNH Matthew - - - 4% 23% 48% 24%
37 WEI JR Shan - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 1%
38 BAKSHI Aman - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
39 ONIK Ari N. - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 5%
40 CHANG Parker - - 1% 7% 31% 51% 10%
41 POLEBOYINA Amrit 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
42 XIE Jicheng - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
43 DESERANNO Leander - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
44 ZHENG Austin - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8% -
45 QU Zhida (richard) - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
45 CHOI Hunter - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11% 1%
47 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
48 SAMUEL Lucas - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
49 NABASSOUA Djibril - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
50 NOVIKOV Yann - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
50 SALEH Ali - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
52 TOOMRE Kai - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 4%
53 FAN Ze Lin - - 4% 21% 42% 27% 5%
54 ZHANG Hanru - 1% 6% 25% 41% 25% 2%
55 SONG Enoch 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
56 YANG David H. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
57 WU Gengze (Daniel) 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
58 TANG Royce - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
59 WANG Luke 1% 9% 32% 39% 16% 3% -
60 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
61 SUSANTO William - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
62 CAO Justin - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
63 MARTIRE Luca - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
64 BU Ethan 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
65 HUANG Jinyao 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
66 PLUMMER Waylon - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
67 LI Jayden 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
68 HUA Aaron - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
69 BEYDOUN Sam - 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
69 CAO Joshua - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
71 JABLOKOV Roman 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
72 ZHANG Julian 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
73 PAN Howard Haoran - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21% 1%
74 CHENG Karter 2% 26% 43% 24% 5% - -
75 HU Daniel - 4% 20% 41% 30% 6% -
76 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
77 HU Michael 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
78 XU Jason 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
79 KIAYIAS Alexander 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
80 HUANG Anthony 5% 24% 39% 26% 7% - -
81 ZHENG Vincent 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 2% -
82 LIN John 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
83 SU Aiden 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
83 DENG Jonathan 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -
85 SHAW Spencer - 5% 25% 40% 24% 4% -
86 VENAFRO Tristan - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% -
87 ULYSSE Jacob 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
88 HUYNH Kaleb 2% 29% 42% 21% 5% - -
89 SINCAVAGE Louis 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
90 REN Ryan - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8% 1%
91 XU Ryan 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 2% -
92 ZHANG Aaron 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
93 ROPER Griffin 2% 24% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
94 WU David 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% - -
95 HUANG Dikang 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
96 ZHENG Lerui 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
97 SHAW eric 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
98 ZHAO David 2% 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
99 ZHANG Ethan 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
100 KAYE Ben - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7% -
101 KWON Chase - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
102 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
102 KIM Daniel - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7% -
104 KIAYIAS Anthony 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
105 LIU jeremy 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
106 DAWSON Myer 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
107 JUVVADI Pratham 5% 31% 41% 20% 3% - -
108 AYYAGARI Abhiram 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
109 TANG Michael 11% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
110 YAVENDITTI William 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
111 ZHANG Ethan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
112 CHUN Zachary 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
113 BAS Jonathan 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
114 SHARMA Ari 3% 29% 42% 21% 4% - -
115 QIAN Zekai 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
116 HUANG Dalynn 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
117 BLACK Henry 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
118 WU Alexander - 2% 15% 37% 34% 10% 1%
119 CHEN Kyler 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
120 KIM Ewan 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
121 MURDOCK Koichi 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
121 WANG Jaaziel 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
123 LIN George 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
123 XIA Vincent 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
125 TIAN Dylan 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
126 ZHONG Kingsley 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
126 PERKINS Nathaniel 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
128 KINGSLEY Griffin < 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
129 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
130 MORALES Tycho 4% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
131 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 20% 47% 27% 6% - - -
132 JIANG Bohan - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
132 KUBBA Krish 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
132 LEE Kyle 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
132 KIM Albert 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
136 ROTH Adam 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
137 WANG Joshua 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
138 NAYAK Saideep 64% 30% 5% - - - -
139 JOHN Meru 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
140 SUN Nathan 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
141 RAJAT Rivaan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
141 BRADY David 2% 21% 42% 28% 6% - -
143 PRICE Ezra 49% 40% 9% 1% - - -
143 FANG Ryan 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
145 MONDESIR Chace 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
146 TAN Allen 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
147 MAN Dylan 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
148 WU Max 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
149 POLEBOYINA Aarav 70% 27% 3% - - - -
150 ZHAO Ethan 80% 18% 1% - - - -
150 LI Eric 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
150 KOO Jaeha 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
153 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 75% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.