American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 LU Andy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
8 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
9 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
10 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
11 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 18%
12 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
13 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
14 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
15 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
16 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
17 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
18 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
19 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
20 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
21 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
22 CHEN Nuo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 86%
23 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
23 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
25 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 2%
26 LIU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 5%
27 YU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
28 WEI Winston 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
29 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 24%
30 KOVACS Harrison 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
31 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
32 WANG Mendy 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
33 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
34 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
35 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
36 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
37 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
38 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
39 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
40 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 10%
41 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
42 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
43 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
44 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% -
45 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
45 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11% 1%
47 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
48 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
49 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
50 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
50 SALEH Ali 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
52 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 4%
53 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
54 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 2%
55 SONG Enoch 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
56 YANG David H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
57 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
58 TANG Royce 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
59 WANG Luke 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
60 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
61 SUSANTO William 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
62 CAO Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
63 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
64 BU Ethan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
65 HUANG Jinyao 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
66 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
67 LI Jayden 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
68 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
69 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 91% 60% 20% 3% -
69 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
71 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
72 ZHANG Julian 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 10% 1%
73 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21% 1%
74 CHENG Karter 100% 98% 72% 29% 6% - -
75 HU Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6% -
76 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
77 HU Michael 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
78 XU Jason 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
79 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
80 HUANG Anthony 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% - -
81 ZHENG Vincent 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 2% -
82 LIN John 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
83 SU Aiden 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
83 DENG Jonathan 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
85 SHAW Spencer 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4% -
86 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
87 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
88 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 98% 69% 26% 5% - -
89 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
90 REN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% 1%
91 XU Ryan 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 2% -
92 ZHANG Aaron 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
93 ROPER Griffin 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
94 WU David 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
95 HUANG Dikang 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
96 ZHENG Lerui 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
97 SHAW eric 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
98 ZHAO David 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
99 ZHANG Ethan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
100 KAYE Ben 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
101 KWON Chase 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
102 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
102 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
104 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
105 LIU jeremy 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
106 DAWSON Myer 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
107 JUVVADI Pratham 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% - -
108 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
109 TANG Michael 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
110 YAVENDITTI William 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
111 ZHANG Ethan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
112 CHUN Zachary 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
113 BAS Jonathan 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
114 SHARMA Ari 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% - -
115 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
116 HUANG Dalynn 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
117 BLACK Henry 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
118 WU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
119 CHEN Kyler 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
120 KIM Ewan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
121 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
121 WANG Jaaziel 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
123 LIN George 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
123 XIA Vincent 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
125 TIAN Dylan 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
126 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
126 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
128 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
129 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
130 MORALES Tycho 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
131 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 80% 33% 6% - - -
132 JIANG Bohan 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
132 KUBBA Krish 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
132 LEE Kyle 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
132 KIM Albert 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
136 ROTH Adam 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
137 WANG Joshua 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
138 NAYAK Saideep 100% 36% 5% - - - -
139 JOHN Meru 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
140 SUN Nathan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
141 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
141 BRADY David 100% 98% 76% 35% 7% - -
143 PRICE Ezra 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
143 FANG Ryan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
145 MONDESIR Chace 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
146 TAN Allen 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
147 MAN Dylan 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
148 WU Max 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
149 POLEBOYINA Aarav 100% 30% 3% - - - -
150 ZHAO Ethan 100% 20% 1% - - - -
150 LI Eric 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
150 KOO Jaeha 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
153 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas 100% 25% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.