Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GAO Victor - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
2 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
3 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
3 FANG Zekai 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
5 CHEN YiHeng - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
6 YIN Chujun - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
7 MOSKOWITZ Martin - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
8 SAKO Ayrton J. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
9 KIM Joshua - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
10 RVACHEV Michael - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
11 PETERSEN Zachary 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
12 ZHENG Alan - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
14 PAYNE Massimo - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
15 LIN Yufei 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
16 NOOL Alexander 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
17 SUN Lucas - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
18 ZHAO Pierce 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
19 UNG Kei - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
20 MATOS Adrian - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
21 SIALA Omar - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
22 ALEXANDER Jacksen 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
23 EVANS Joseph 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
24 SONG Changze - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
25 NALLICHERI Ayaan 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
26 RIVERA Louis 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
27 KUSACTAY Eric 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
28 LEE Henry 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
29 RAMEY Daylon 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
30 FRIEDMAN Andres 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
31 WHEELER Jackson 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
32 VAN DOREN William 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
33 KIM Nathan 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
34 ZHANG Jonathan 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
35 TANG Jeremy 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
36 MARTINEZ Joshua - 2% 14% 36% 37% 12%
37 LAWLOR Lee 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
38 TIFFANY Maxim - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
39 GAO Ryan 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
40 DELONG Joshua 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
41 WEHMEYER Devin 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
42 WARD Kofi 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
43 KIM Zac 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
43 MARSH Alex 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
45 LAU LUCAS 9% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
46 PISTEA Mark 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
47 NUNEZ Jorge 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
48 SEIKEL Spencer - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
49 ALEXANDER Christopher 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
50 MANSFIELD Hunter 7% 41% 37% 13% 2% -
51 MILLER Jordan 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
51 YU David 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
53 AU Joshua 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
54 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
55 KIRSCH Adam J. 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
56 ZHANG Jason 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
57 HEISLER Maxfield 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% -
58 SPANIER Talivaldis F. 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
58 ZHANG Shuhao 71% 26% 3% - - -
60 CROWE Charles 5% 30% 42% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.