Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GAO Victor 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
2 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 FANG Zekai 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
5 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
6 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
7 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
8 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
9 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
10 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
11 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
12 ZHENG Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
13 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
15 LIN Yufei 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1%
16 NOOL Alexander 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
17 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
18 ZHAO Pierce 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
19 UNG Kei 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
20 MATOS Adrian 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
21 SIALA Omar 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
22 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
23 EVANS Joseph 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
24 SONG Changze 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 13%
25 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
26 RIVERA Louis 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
27 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
28 LEE Henry 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
29 RAMEY Daylon 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
30 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
31 WHEELER Jackson 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
32 VAN DOREN William 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
33 KIM Nathan 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
34 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
35 TANG Jeremy 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
36 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
37 LAWLOR Lee 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
38 TIFFANY Maxim 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
39 GAO Ryan 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -
40 DELONG Joshua 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
41 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
42 WARD Kofi 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
43 KIM Zac 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
43 MARSH Alex 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
45 LAU LUCAS 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
46 PISTEA Mark 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
47 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
48 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
49 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
50 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 93% 53% 15% 2% -
51 MILLER Jordan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
51 YU David 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
53 AU Joshua 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
54 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
55 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
56 ZHANG Jason 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
57 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
58 SPANIER Talivaldis F. 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% -
58 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 29% 3% - - -
60 CROWE Charles 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.