Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PECH Giulio - - - - 6% 34% 60%
2 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 NOLAN Tyler 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
3 ZHOU alex 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
5 CHEN Brian - - - - 7% 36% 57%
6 DAVIDENKO Alexander - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
7 LAM Alan - - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
8 WANG Marcus 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
9 RAPALSKI Thomas - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
10 CHEMEZOV Trent - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
11 KIM Gene - - 1% 11% 38% 41% 9%
12 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
13 DILDA Griffin 12% 42% 35% 10% 1%
14 MEGGERS Davin - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
16 BANG Dylan 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
17 ALI Farhan - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
18 PENG Yue - - 2% 14% 43% 35% 6%
19 LIN Haley 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
20 SZIEDE Kieran 5% 29% 43% 20% 3%
21 HAN Sam - 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
22 MODANLOU Navid - 1% 12% 42% 44%
23 LEECH Braedan 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
24 MAXWELL Sheito 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
25 CHENH Justin 1% 8% 32% 44% 16%
26 STRAFFORD Andrew 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
27 KONG Brandon 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
28 WILKERSON Tobias 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
29 GATEWOOD Michael 31% 45% 21% 4% - - -
30 WANG Aiden 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
31 MCCABE Kian 3% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1% -
32 BROSNAN Solomon 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
33 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
34 SALLAI Abel 42% 42% 14% 2% -
35 HALE Bradley 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
36 STEPANIAN George 13% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
37 DAVIS Andrew 10% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
38 THOMPSON Josh 5% 29% 43% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.