Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PECH Giulio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
2 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 NOLAN Tyler 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
3 ZHOU alex 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
5 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
6 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
7 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 9%
8 WANG Marcus 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
9 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6%
10 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
11 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
12 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
13 DILDA Griffin 100% 88% 45% 10% 1%
14 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
16 BANG Dylan 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
17 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
18 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41% 6%
19 LIN Haley 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 1%
20 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 95% 66% 23% 3%
21 HAN Sam 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
22 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
23 LEECH Braedan 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
24 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
25 CHENH Justin 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
26 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
27 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
28 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% - -
29 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
30 WANG Aiden 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
31 MCCABE Kian 100% 97% 78% 40% 8% 1% -
32 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
33 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
34 SALLAI Abel 100% 58% 16% 2% -
35 HALE Bradley 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
36 STEPANIAN George 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% - -
37 DAVIS Andrew 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
38 THOMPSON Josh 100% 95% 66% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.