Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
3 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
5 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
6 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
7 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
8 YANG Luca 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17%
9 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
10 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
11 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
12 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
13 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
14 LIN Ziyue 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
15 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 2%
16 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
17 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
18 ZHANG Vincent J 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
19 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
20 CHEN Kevin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
21 XU ETHAN 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
22 SUN Andrew 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
23 FREL Vincent 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
24 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
25 LI Andrew 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
26 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
27 SU Sean 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 4%
28 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1%
29 YOON Mason 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
30 YANG Crescent 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
31 WU David 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
32 JUVVADI Pratham 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
33 MONDESIR Chace 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
34 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
35 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
36 WU Connor 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
37 IM Andrew 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
38 MAN Dylan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
39 MACKENZIE Dylan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
40 SNYDER Winston 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
41 NAYAK Saideep 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
42 LEONG Michael 100% 99% 82% 38% 8% 1%
43 PELLERIN Liam 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
44 BRADY David 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
45 ALABI Adriel 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
46 BUBNIS Declan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
47 MCLENDON Mateo 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
48 COHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
49 WILSON Henry 100% 88% 40% 8% 1% -
50 YEUNG rex 100% 62% 15% 1% - -
51 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
52 WEBSTER Rowan 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
53 ZHAO Ethan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
54 CASTILLO Hector 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
55 MAGUIRE Edward 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 16% 1%
56 LEE Ryan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
57 MCCORMICK Chase 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
58 OLINO Patrick 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
59 AIRAN-JAVIA Shiv 100% 99% 77% 30% 3% -
59 GALLAGHER Thomas 100% 81% 32% 6% 1% -
62 ZEI Julian 100% 35% 4% - - -
63 LEUNG-AINSLEY Edward 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
64 LEE Thomas 100% 99% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
65 FRANKEL Matthew 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
66 LEE Andrew 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.