Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAM Alan - - - 6% 38% 56%
2 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
3 YI Nathan - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
3 KIM Joshua - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 MODANLOU Navid - - - - 5% 30% 64%
6 ARMSTRONG TyLee 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
7 KIM Gene - - 5% 24% 46% 26%
8 RAPALSKI Thomas - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
9 LEECH Braedan - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 5%
10 CHO Alex - 6% 25% 44% 25%
11 SZIEDE Kieran 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
13 PENG Yue - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
14 WANG Marcus 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
15 CHANEY Charles 1% 9% 36% 43% 11% 1%
16 ALPSOY Emir 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% -
17 DILDA Griffin 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
18 KONG Brandon 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
19 TARCHICHI Robby - - 3% 21% 54% 22%
20 HALE Bradley 15% 40% 33% 10% 1%
21 DAVIS Andrew 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
22 PARY Jean Pierre 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
23 TSEN Mason 6% 27% 41% 23% 4%
24 UNZHAKOV Konstantin - 5% 25% 44% 25%
25 MEDISETTI Arjun 3% 24% 46% 24% 3% -
26 OZBAY Alp 17% 40% 32% 10% 1%
27 LIN Haley 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
28 KONG Ethan 7% 40% 39% 12% 1% -
29 WU Jiachen 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
30 BAYUS Oliver 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
31 MAXWELL Sheito 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
32 SAAD Noah 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
33 SALLAI Abel 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
35 GATEWOOD Michael 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
36 NAM Nathaniel 13% 37% 36% 13% 2%
37 LEE Carson 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
38 MCCABE Kian 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
39 SMOTHERS Nathan 16% 40% 33% 10% 1%
40 STRAFFORD Andrew 32% 44% 20% 4% -
41 STEPANIAN George 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
42 MILLER Balthazar 65% 30% 4% - - -
42 CHAN Ian 53% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.