The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Cadet Men's Épée

Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles · Sterling, VA, USA
43 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
2 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
3 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
3 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
5 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
7 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
8 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
9 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 5%
10 CHO Alex 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
11 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 ZHU Eason 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
13 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
15 CHANEY Charles 100% 99% 90% 54% 12% 1%
16 ALPSOY Emir 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
17 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
18 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
19 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 22%
20 HALE Bradley 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
21 DAVIS Andrew 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
22 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
23 TSEN Mason 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
24 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
25 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 97% 72% 27% 3% -
26 OZBAY Alp 100% 83% 42% 11% 1%
27 LIN Haley 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
28 KONG Ethan 100% 93% 53% 13% 1% -
29 WU Jiachen 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
30 BAYUS Oliver 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
31 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
32 SAAD Noah 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
33 SALLAI Abel 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
34 QU Ryan Missing ID
35 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1%
36 NAM Nathaniel 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
37 LEE Carson 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2%
38 MCCABE Kian 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
39 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
40 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
41 STEPANIAN George 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
42 MILLER Balthazar 100% 36% 5% - - -
42 CHAN Ian 100% 47% 10% 1% - -