Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
2 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
3 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
3 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
6 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
7 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
8 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
9 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
10 CHO Alex 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
11 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
13 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
14 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
15 CHANEY Charles 100% 99% 90% 54% 12% 1%
16 ALPSOY Emir 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
17 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
18 KONG Brandon 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
19 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 22%
20 HALE Bradley 100% 85% 45% 11% 1%
21 DAVIS Andrew 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
22 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
23 TSEN Mason 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
24 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
25 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 97% 73% 27% 3% -
26 OZBAY Alp 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
27 LIN Haley 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
28 KONG Ethan 100% 93% 52% 13% 1% -
29 WU Jiachen 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
30 BAYUS Oliver 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
31 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
32 SAAD Noah 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
33 SALLAI Abel 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
35 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1%
36 NAM Nathaniel 100% 87% 50% 14% 2%
37 LEE Carson 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2%
38 MCCABE Kian 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
39 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
40 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 68% 24% 4% -
41 STEPANIAN George 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
42 MILLER Balthazar 100% 35% 5% - - -
42 CHAN Ian 100% 47% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.