Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Kate - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 LI Xier - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
3 MEGGERS Arya - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
3 SILVA Hailey - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
5 CHUNG Yenna 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
6 MAEDJE Abigail - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
7 ZHANG Yuchen A. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
8 LEWIN Isabelle 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
9 YOUNG Penelope 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
10 CHANEY Evelyn 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
11 KWON Claire 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
12 TAYLOR Poppy 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
13 ZHU Danielle Jade 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
14 KWON Allison 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
15 MARYAHIN Sophie 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
16 ABDALLAH Lily 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
17 WANG Jenny 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
18 ADLER Anneliese 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
19 LOPATINA Anastasiia 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
20 KIM Chaeryeong 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.