Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Kate 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 LI Xier 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
3 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
3 SILVA Hailey 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
5 CHUNG Yenna 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
6 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
7 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
8 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
9 YOUNG Penelope 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
10 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
11 KWON Claire 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
12 TAYLOR Poppy 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
13 ZHU Danielle Jade 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
14 KWON Allison 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
15 MARYAHIN Sophie 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
16 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
17 WANG Jenny 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
18 ADLER Anneliese 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
19 LOPATINA Anastasiia 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
20 KIM Chaeryeong 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.