Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
2 TUCKER ALFONSO Javier - 1% 9% 32% 42% 17%
3 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
3 TIKHONOV Daniel - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
5 CHEN Brian - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
7 GLENNON Sebastian J. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
8 MEGGERS Davin 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2%
9 BOUDREAUX James - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
10 DAVIDENKO Alexander - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
11 YANG Gary 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
12 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 5% 26% 44% 24%
13 MANN Jake R. - - - 1% 13% 44% 41%
14 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 ZHOU alex 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
16 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 5% 25% 41% 24% 6% -
17 LI Jade 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1% -
18 MODULLA Yathin R. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
19 SERAFIN Ben - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
20 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 20%
21 LEWIS Jared - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
22 ZHAO Zidong 2% 17% 45% 28% 7% 1%
23 TIRRELL Justin J. 2% 12% 29% 34% 20% 4%
24 CHENH Justin 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
25 CHRISTY Peter C. - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
26 DUAN Eric - 1% 8% 28% 42% 18% 2%
27 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
28 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
29 SINGH Aryaman - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
30 LEE DoWon 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1%
31 RUSSELL James 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
32 CARTER Austin L. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
33 PAN Colin - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
34 WONG King-Yee 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
35 DISIMONE David Z. - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
36 ASGARALLY Anthony 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
37 JOHNSON Jay - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
38 KLINKENBERG Patrick 45% 40% 12% 2% - - -
39 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
40 O'HARROW Tristan C. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
41 ADDYSON Aidan 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
42 TATE William Isom 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
43 JEONG Arisu 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
44 WU Shaochi 11% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
45 LEECH Braedan 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
46 MUMMIDI Rishi - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
47 WHEELER Daniel - 1% 10% 37% 39% 13%
48 SWENSON Keane J. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
49 WANG Marcus 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
50 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 45% 43% 10% 1% - -
51 SLOTER Lewis E. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
52 MARSH Alex 23% 49% 23% 4% - -
53 NALLICHERI Ayaan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
54 CHEN YiHeng 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
55 NGUYEN Trung 1% 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
56 DALTON Matthew 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
57 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.