Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, May 9, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 TUCKER ALFONSO Javier 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
3 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
3 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
5 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
7 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
8 MEGGERS Davin 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
9 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
10 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
11 YANG Gary 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
12 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
13 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
14 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
15 ZHOU alex 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
16 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
17 LI Jade 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1% -
18 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
19 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
20 DE LA CRUZ Jean Carlos 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
21 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
22 ZHAO Zidong 100% 98% 81% 35% 7% 1%
23 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
24 CHENH Justin 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
25 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
26 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
27 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
28 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
29 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
30 LEE DoWon 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1%
31 RUSSELL James 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
32 CARTER Austin L. 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
33 PAN Colin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
34 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
35 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
36 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
37 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
38 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
39 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
40 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1%
41 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
42 TATE William Isom 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
43 JEONG Arisu 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% -
44 WU Shaochi 100% 89% 50% 16% 3% - -
45 LEECH Braedan 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
46 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
47 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 13%
48 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
49 WANG Marcus 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
50 MONTAGUE Braeden A. 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
51 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
52 MARSH Alex 100% 77% 27% 4% - -
53 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
54 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
55 NGUYEN Trung 100% 99% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
56 DALTON Matthew 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 1%
57 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.