Collegiate Cup RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - - - - 10% 89%
2 WONG Baron - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 WANG Joey - - - - 4% 28% 67%
5 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
6 HERBRANDSON Luke - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 DU Evan - - 2% 11% 34% 43% 10%
8 LIU Yueri - - - - 6% 33% 61%
9 AVETISIAN Michael 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 2%
10 KIM Alexander - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
11 LEE Royce - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
12 RONG Gordon - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
13 LIANG Donny - 1% 9% 27% 39% 23% 1%
14 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
15 GOROZA Eric - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
16 RONG Marcus 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
17 XUE Michael - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
18 FU Nolan - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
19 KLINKNER Richard 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
20 GUIRAUDET Alistair 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
21 MOSLEY Wally 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
22 BROWN Korbyn 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
23 BAKKEN Archer 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
24 SUROV Alexander 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
25 MOLLINIER Angel 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
26 CHARETTE Alex - 3% 21% 39% 29% 8%
27 SARMIENTO Luke 8% 36% 38% 16% 3% -
28 VOO Lucas 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
29 MAXU Tiger 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
30 PARKE Nathaniel - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
31 LEUNG Dylan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
32 HUA Nolan 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
33 RAHMAN Ali 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
34 SAMIMI Sina 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
35 DOSHAY Noah 7% 49% 34% 9% 1% -
36 NORTON Henry - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
37 LI Yunji (Rain) - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
38 GRAHAM Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
39 DENG Destin 8% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
40 KIM Remington 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
41 WANG Dylan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
42 YAO Tristan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
43 LI Zerong - 4% 20% 39% 31% 7%
44 NGUYEN Ethan V. 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
45 HSU Joshua - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
45 PEAKE Santiago 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
47 GADHVI Darius 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
48 FEI Victor - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
49 MA Ciel 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
50 ROLAND Nikolas 59% 34% 6% 1% - -
51 OLIVAS Joseph 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
52 PORIKLI Sedat 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
53 KOU Mason 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
54 PARRA Lucas 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
55 GONZÁLEZ Jesús 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
56 LI Sean 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
57 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
58 HOBBS Fineas 79% 20% 2% - - -
59 TERRA BARRETT Isaiah 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.