2025 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - - 14% 85%
2 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 1% 12% 57% 31%
3 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 1% 19% 80%
3 WEISS Miles J. - - - - 4% 96%
5 LAI Boden - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
6 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 6% 36% 58%
7 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
8 STEVENSON Ryan 1% 9% 32% 41% 16% -
9 SMITH Troy H. - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
10 YIN Chujun 4% 25% 44% 25% 3% -
11 ZAYDMAN David M. - - 5% 25% 47% 22%
12 ROGAK Benjamin A. - - - 1% 18% 80%
13 SANTOS Francisco M. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
14 WANG Justin - - 5% 26% 51% 17%
15 WANG Xiangdong 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
16 KABA Elias 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
17 MOSKOWITZ Martin 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2%
18 SONG Troy - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11%
19 BAJAJ Nakul 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
20 WU Joseph - - - 4% 40% 55%
21 ZHANG Roland 3% 20% 40% 30% 7% -
21 SONG Changze 3% 18% 39% 31% 8% -
23 SIALA Omar 1% 13% 41% 38% 6% -
24 QUIRK Dylan 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
25 ORESKOVIC Olivier 12% 34% 36% 16% 2% -
26 CHEN Allen - 6% 27% 43% 20% 3%
27 WANG Zichun - 3% 14% 35% 35% 13%
28 MEN Junda 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
29 GLUSHKOV David 2% 20% 46% 28% 3% -
30 SHREM Samuel G. - - 5% 28% 60% 8%
31 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 5% 21% 41% 30% 3%
32 GU Eric 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
33 WU Jonathan - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
34 WILSON Ian G. 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
35 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 5%
36 O'BRIEN Eamon 2% 15% 37% 34% 10% -
37 LI Ray 11% 39% 36% 13% 1% -
38 SANTOS Felipe 1% 15% 41% 36% 6% -
39 DOWD Peter L. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
40 XIE Brandon 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
41 BRUEGGEMANN Max 35% 46% 17% 2% - -
42 ZHANG Jonathan 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
43 PAN Anthony 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
44 LIU Jeremiah W. 4% 22% 43% 25% 5% -
45 GERSEN Jacob - 3% 16% 40% 36% 4%
46 ROSIELLO Francesco 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
47 ZELIN Sam J. - 5% 25% 43% 26% 1%
48 MARSHALL William L. 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
49 PESSIN Nadav 23% 46% 26% 5% - -
50 MARINI Davide 3% 23% 42% 27% 5% -
51 WANG Zhenhai 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
51 WHITE Aidan 16% 47% 31% 6% - -
53 WANG-SONG Evan 13% 40% 36% 11% 1% -
54 WENGER Caleb 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
55 LIN Lucas 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
56 MURRAY John P. 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
57 LU Eric 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
58 HANNA Alexander 50% 40% 9% 1% - -
59 OTTAVIANO Aaron 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
59 NGUYEN Trung 42% 42% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.