Marcel Miernik Memorial Challenge - Division II Foil and Epee

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fencers Club - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1%
2 PIERCE Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 8%
3 ZHAI Junqi 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
3 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 99% 80% 36% 6% -
5 PEARSALL Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 29%
6 TEH Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 LIU Kun 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
8 KARASICK Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
9 HIGGINS Viktor 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
10 TANG Jeremy 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
11 MANITT Philip 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
12 LIN Yufei 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1%
13 HSU Catherine 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
14 JOYNER Braylon 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
15 KARASICK Andrew 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
16 YU David 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
17 XIAO Katelyn 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
18 RIFKIND Neil 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
19 THOMAS Ethan 100% 69% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.