NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 64% 2%
3 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 74%
3 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
6 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
7 WANG Rory 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
8 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 42%
9 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
10 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
11 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 35%
12 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
13 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
14 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
15 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
16 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 15%
17 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
18 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 18%
19 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
20 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
21 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
22 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 2%
23 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
24 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
25 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 8%
26 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 43%
27 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 26% 4%
28 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
29 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
30 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
31 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
32 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 24% -
33 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 93% 56% 16% 2%
34 BAI Austin 100% 93% 63% 20% 1% < 1%
35 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
36 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
37 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
38 JACOVINO Jonathan S. 100% 100% 97% 73% 28% 3%
39 TANG Terry 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 6% -
40 WU Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
41 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
42 JIN Andy 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
43 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 22%
44 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1% -
44 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
46 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
47 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 94% 64% 18% 2% -
48 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
49 SURESH Rohan 100% 100% 95% 65% 21% 2% -
50 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 18%
51 ZHAO Brian 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
52 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% -
53 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 87% 46% 6% -
54 XU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24% 1%
55 BAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10% 1%
56 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% - -
57 FENG Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16% 1%
58 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 93% 40% 7% - - -
59 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 97% 74% 27% 4% - -
60 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% - -
61 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 46%
62 GATES Combustion 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
63 SENANI Arjun 100% 97% 75% 29% 4% -
64 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% -
65 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 87% 42% 8% 1% - -
66 VO Jonathan 100% 83% 36% 6% - -
67 KUO Phineas 100% 83% 40% 8% - -
68 SABATINO Patrick 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
69 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 69% 24% 3% - -
70 DENG Kenny 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
71 AMEND Jake 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
72 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 98% 79% 25% 3% - -
73 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
74 TORO Alejandro 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
75 MOO Gareth G. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
76 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 87% 43% 8% 1% -
77 CHUA Kirby 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
78 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 79% 36% 7% - - -
79 OH Joshua 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% - -
80 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% - -
81 LAO Kevin 100% 98% 85% 46% 7% - -
82 BUCOURT Vincent 100% 77% 28% 4% - - -
83 PETINO Leonardo 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
83 HARRIS Noah 100% 93% 61% 22% 3% - -
85 GOODMAN Elliott 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
85 LEE Charles T 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
87 LIGH Thomas 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
88 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 96% 71% 25% 4% -
88 YANG David H. 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
90 BERETICH Brian 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
91 LEE Thomas 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
92 XU Brian 100% 95% 44% 10% 1% - -
93 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 97% 74% 29% 4% - -
94 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 2% -
95 MCENTEE Owen 100% 81% 38% 7% - - -
96 LI Ayren 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
96 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
98 HOWARD Fox 100% 76% 24% 3% - - -
99 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 56% 9% - - - -
100 BELL Guillaume 100% 18% 1% - - - -
101 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 92% 62% 20% 2%
102 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20% 2%
103 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 79% 35% 7% - -
103 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 78% 30% 5% - -
105 XU Ryan 100% 65% 13% 1% - - -
106 WU Michael 100% 98% 80% 38% 4% -
107 WILBERT Matt 100% 97% 73% 26% 2% -
108 REELS Eric J. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
108 HU Daniel 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
110 STOKES CARDENTE Isaiah 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
111 ANDERSON Maxwell 100% 13% - - - - -
112 WENGER Caleb 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
112 POBLACION REZENDE Theodoro 100% 45% 8% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.