National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Baird Center - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
2 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
3 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 HUNTER Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
6 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
7 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
8 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
9 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
10 MEEHAN Justin X. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
11 YAO Shun 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 15% 1%
12 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
13 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
14 GERACI Paul A. 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
15 CLAYTON Byron 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
16 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
17 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
17 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
19 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
20 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
21 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 99% 88% 45% 12% 1% -
22 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 94% 66% 25% 3% -
23 HEDGES Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
24 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
25 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 3%
26 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
27 RIBAUDO David J. 100% 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
28 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
29 ROBERTS Peter 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% -
30 WILLIAMS Brett 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
31 STERR Eric 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
32 MARINI Davide 100% 97% 73% 25% 4% - -
33 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
34 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
35 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
36 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 3%
37 SANTOS Felipe 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
38 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
39 HARGROVE Charles 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
40 BAGAMANOV Ruslan 100% 89% 42% 8% 1% - -
41 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
42 PAGE Aaron M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
43 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
44 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
45 MALLON Scooter 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
46 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
47 GREGORY Dean 100% 99% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
48 LEBIHAN Frank 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% - -
49 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
50 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 92% 27% 3% - - -
51 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 99% 91% 56% 17% 2%
52 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
53 PAPP Mike 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
53 KLINE R. Jay 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
55 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
56 WAY Kashi M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
57 HARRIS Robert S. 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 4%
58 STOY Patrick 100% 63% 16% 2% - -
59 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
60 LIU Kun 100% 91% 59% 22% 5% - -
61 NEMAZIE David A. 100% 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
62 BRUS Brian V. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 11% 1%
63 LEE Wei-Sheng 100% 39% 4% - - - -
64 MILLER Brent 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
65 DAN Chuntao 100% 86% 36% 7% 1% - -
66 WILSON Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 13%
67 OTTAVIANO Marcus 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
68 DAVIS Kelly 100% 69% 20% 2% - -
69 BUTTA Robert 100% 38% 5% - - - -
70 WU Robert 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
71 PLUMMER Ken 100% 35% 4% - - - -
72 FELDMAN Louis 100% 13% - - - - -
72 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 80% 24% 3% - - -
74 NEEVEL David 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.